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Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Climate models are just personal opinions


Studies of Earth's atmosphere tell us almost nothing about the future climate.

No "climate scientist" today knows whether the next 20 years will have warming, cooling, or a flat trend of the average temperature. 

It's easy for climate modelers to produce whatever outcomes they want.

Models are not evidence.

Models are not data.

Model simulations / projections / predictions prove nothing.

Models are nothing more than the personal opinion of the modeler.

They are grossly simplified views of a reality  not well understood.

Climate models are not real climate science. 

Real climate science requires observations, data collection, measurements and experiments.

Real climate science studies, and tries to understand, the past and present climate -- the future climate is unknown, and unknowable.

Playing computer games in air conditioned offices with models (either climate models, or tall women who strut on runways), and predicting the future climate,  is not science.

The current state of climate science: 
- No "climate scientist" today knows whether the next 20 years will have warming, cooling, or a flat trend of the average temperature.  

- 20 years from today, the average temperature may be so close to where it is today, that scientists using honest margins of error still won't know if the prior 20-years had warming, cooling or a flat trend!