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Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Climate Change Circular Reasoning

Circular reasoning 
is a logical fallacy 
where an unproven theory 
is used for
research design, 
research methodology 
and data interpretation.

Circular reasoning is not 
a formal logical fallacy 
but a defect in an argument 
where the premises 
are just as much
in need of proof or evidence 
as the conclusion, 
and as a result,
the argument is not persuasive. 

This fallacy is often found 
in climate change "science", 
where biased researchers
start with a conclusion,  
and do not seek the truth.

They seek to prove a CO2 theory 
(CO2 controls the average temperature) 
that they already believe in. 

The result is confirmation bias,
such as claiming unreasonably 
small margins of error for the data, 
unreasonably high confidence
levels, and always ignoring
contradictory, or less persuasive,
data.

As a result, 
(it seems that) 
nothing can happen 
to the climate that will ever
falsify the CO2 theory.

The belief that CO2 is evil 
provides a reason for 
environmental activism, 
and virtue signaling 
( the false claims of saving our planet 
from a climate catastrophe ).

Circular reasoning 
in climate change research 
is the use of climate models 
to test the CO2 theory.

That makes no sense, 
because the models 
are just expressions 
of the unproven CO2 theory 
that is being tested! 

The model's average temperature 
predictions assume 
the underlying CO2 theory 
is correct !

But the model's average temperature
predictions have been very wrong 
for the past 30 years.

You may not realize that fact,
because it's never mentioned 
by the mainstream media.


The models are wrong 
but the scary predictions 
of a coming climate change disaster 
never change.

This climate change scaremongering,
for the past three decades
( four decades if you include global cooling 
predictions from the 1970s ),
is not science, it is a secular religion.