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Tuesday, November 27, 2018

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

Consider a 
60-year cycle, 
in the Pacific Ocean,
that periodically 
warms that ocean,
by +2 degrees Celsius, 
for 25-30 years. 

Then the 
Pacific Ocean
temperatures 
drop back to 
roughly 
their earlier level, 
for the next 
25-30 years. 

It’s called the
Pacific 
Decadal 
Oscillation,
or PDO. 

The record shows 
PDO warmings 
from 1860 to 1880, 
1915 to 1940, and
from 1976 to 1998.

Global warming 
from 1976-1998,
could be explained
by yet another 
PDO warming cycle.

We’ve had many
warming and cooling 
climate scare headlines,
in the past century,
that coincide with
PDO warming and 
PDO cooling trends.

When the PDO trend 
was cooling, 
we scared ourselves 
about a coming Ice Age. 

When the PDO trend 
was warming, 
we scared ourselves 
about an “ice-free Arctic” 
and a huge sea level rise. 

This current 
PDO cooling phase,
starting in 1998,
should end 
in 25 to 30 years
( between 2023 and 2028 ).


More reading:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_decadal_oscillation