The 24th Conference
of Parties (COP-24)
of the United Nations
Framework Convention
on Climate Change
(UNFCCC)
was in Katowice,
Poland.
The convention
seemed to be
most concerned
about a transfer
of wealth,
from rich nations
to poor nations,
to help them 'fight'
climate change.
The convention
was supposed to
focus on developing
specific rules
and targets,
to implement
the voluntary 2015
Paris Agreement.
The 25,000 delegates only
adopted vague generalities
and promises to do more.
UN Secretary General,
Antรณnio Guterres,
did not even bother
to attend.
A special
report,
titled "SR1.5",
was issued
by the IPCC
in October 2018,
leading up to
COP-24.
SR1.5
deviated
from the
IPCC Fifth
Assessment
Report
(AR-5, in 2013),
which is the latest
full IPCC report.
But no evidence
was presented
to support the
significant change.
Because junk science
never requires evidence !
Working Group I, in the
IPCC Fifth Assessment,
had written:
‘It is extremely likely
that more than half
of the observed increase
in global average
surface temperature,
from 1951 to 2010,
was caused by
the anthropogenic
( man made )
increase in
greenhouse gas
concentrations,
and other
anthropogenic
forcings together.’
There is no
real science
real science
behind the
above statement
above statement
-- carbon dioxide
could have caused
anywhere from
0% to 100%
of the warming
since 1950.
"More than half"
is the IPCC
wild guess.
No one knows
the "right answer".
But even if the
"right answer"
was that CO2
caused 100%,
the global warming
since 1950, and
that warming rate
continued indefinitely,
the result would only be
mild, harmless warming:
Only +1 degree C.
of global warming,
over the next 200 years,
( with CO2 levels growing by 2ppm per year )
( ppm = parts per million )
In 2013, the IPCC
did not blame
100% of the
post-1950
global warming
on human emissions
of greenhouse gases.
in 2013, the IPCC
did not blame
any of the
1910 to 1940
global warming
on human emissions
of greenhouse gases.
But SR1.5,
in 2018,
blames ALL
global warming,
since the late
19th century,
on humans !
That's an
unproven
proclamation,
which is
a symptom
a symptom
of junk science.
SR1.5 is not real science
-- it is pure junk science!
Concerning real science:
Most climate science
is not known with certainty,
and may never be known
with certainty in our lifetime.
We do know
the dominant
greenhouse gas
in the atmosphere
is water vapor.
When air rises and cools,
the water vapor in it
condenses into clouds,
which significantly affects
the greenhouse properties
of the atmosphere.
Quantifying the effects
of clouds in the atmosphere
is beyond the capability
of current (real) science.
That's one
of the many reasons
that climate models
( computer games )
make such wrong
predictions.
Relatively small changes
to parameters of the
global climate models,
can lead to
large changes
in the predicted
global warming rate,
in response to increasing
levels of greenhouse gases.
Modelers "tune" their models
to reproduce the observed
20th century warming.
The problem with that
is nobody knows
what really caused
20th century warming!
Modelers also use
a climate sensitivity
to CO2 number
that was
wild guessed
in the 1970's,
and never changed.
It should have changed !
Because using
that number
has caused
climate models
to predict that
global warming
was going to be
2x to 3x faster
than what
actually
happened
since 1975 !
Three decades
of wrong predictions,
yet the modelers
keep using that
wrong number
first guessed
in the 1970's,
( doubling CO2 level
will cause about
+3 degrees C.
global warming )
in spite of the
wrong predictions
that make it obvious
the number is wrong !
SR1.5
represents
a significant
ramp up
of prior IPCC
junk science,
with no attempt
to explain,
even with
junk science,
why CO2
scaremongering
has been
ramped up.
The UN's IPCC knows
fellow leftists will accept
anything they say,
and anything they predict,
without questions.
And skeptics will be
character attacked,
and then claimed to be
unworthy of debate.
That's how junk science
is used to control people.
"Climate change "
consists of
99% junk science,
supported by
computer games
that make
wrong predictions !
There is 1% real science
-- simple lab experiments
( Infrared spectroscopy )
suggesting CO2 should
act as a greenhouse gas
in the atmosphere,
and cause mild, harmless
global warming
( much less warming
than the UN's IPCC
has predicted since 1988
... and still predicts today ! )