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Sunday, December 30, 2018

New Climate Junk "Science" Presented at the 24th Conference of Parties (COP-24) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Poland

The 24th Conference 
of Parties (COP-24) 
of the United Nations 
Framework Convention 
on Climate Change 
       (UNFCCC) 
was in Katowice, 
Poland. 

The convention 
seemed to be 
most concerned 
about a transfer 
of wealth, 
from rich nations
to poor nations,
to help them 'fight' 
climate change.

The convention 
was supposed to 
focus on developing
specific rules 
and targets,
to implement
the voluntary 2015 
Paris Agreement.

The 25,000 delegates only
adopted vague generalities 
and promises to do more. 

UN Secretary General, 
Antรณnio Guterres, 
did not even bother 
to attend.




A special 
report,
titled "SR1.5",
was issued 
by the IPCC 
in October 2018, 
leading up to 
COP-24. 

SR1.5 
deviated 
from the
IPCC Fifth 
Assessment 
Report 
     (AR-5, in 2013),
which is the latest 
full IPCC report.

But no evidence 
was presented
to support the 
significant change.

Because junk science
never requires evidence !




Working Group I, in the 
IPCC Fifth Assessment,
had written: 
‘It is extremely likely 
that more than half 
of the observed increase 
in global average 
surface temperature, 
from 1951 to 2010, 
was caused by 
the anthropogenic 
      ( man made )
increase in 
greenhouse gas 
concentrations, 
and other 
anthropogenic 
forcings together.’

There is no 
real science 
behind the 
above statement
-- carbon dioxide 
could have caused
anywhere from 
0% to 100%
of the warming 
since 1950.

"More than half" 
is the IPCC 
wild guess.

No one knows 
the "right answer".




But even if the
"right answer" 
was that CO2 
caused 100%,
the global warming
since 1950, and
that warming rate
continued indefinitely,
the result would only be
mild, harmless warming: 
 Only +1 degree C.
of global warming, 
over the next 200 years,
( with CO2 levels growing by 2ppm per year )
( ppm = parts per million )




In 2013, the IPCC 
did not blame
100% of the 
post-1950 
global warming
on human emissions 
of greenhouse gases.

in 2013, the IPCC
did not blame 
any of the 
1910 to 1940
global warming 
on human emissions
of greenhouse gases.

But SR1.5,
in 2018,
blames ALL 
global warming,
since the late
19th century,
on humans !

That's an
unproven 
proclamation,
which is 
a symptom
of junk science.

SR1.5 is not real science
-- it is pure junk science!




Concerning real science:
 Most climate science 
is not known with certainty,
and may never be known
with certainty in our lifetime.

We do know 
the dominant 
greenhouse gas
in the atmosphere 
is water vapor.

When air rises and cools, 
the water vapor in it 
condenses into clouds, 
which significantly affects 
the greenhouse properties 
of the atmosphere.

Quantifying the effects 
of clouds in the atmosphere
is beyond the capability
of current (real) science. 

That's one 
of the many reasons
that climate models 
      ( computer games )
make such wrong 
predictions.




Relatively small changes 
to parameters of the
global climate models,
can lead to 
large changes 
in the predicted 
global warming rate,
in response to increasing 
levels of greenhouse gases.

Modelers "tune" their models 
to reproduce the observed 
20th century warming.

The problem with that
is nobody knows 
what really caused
20th century warming!

Modelers also use 
a climate sensitivity
to CO2 number
that was 
wild guessed 
in the 1970's, 
and never changed.

It should have changed !

Because using 
that number 
has caused
climate models 
to predict that
global warming 
was going to be 
2x to 3x faster 
than what
actually 
happened
since 1975 !

Three decades 
of wrong predictions,
yet the modelers 
keep using that
wrong number 
first guessed
in the 1970's,
( doubling CO2 level 
will cause about 
+3 degrees C.
global warming )
in spite of the
wrong predictions 
that make it obvious
the number is wrong !




SR1.5
represents 
a significant 
ramp up
of prior IPCC 
junk science,
with no attempt 
to explain,
even with
junk science,
why CO2 
scaremongering
has been 
ramped up.

The UN's IPCC knows
fellow leftists will accept
anything they say,
and anything they predict, 
without questions.

And skeptics will be 
character attacked,
and then claimed to be 
unworthy of debate.

That's how junk science
is used to control people.




"Climate change "
consists of 
99% junk science,
supported by 
computer games
that make 
wrong predictions !

There is 1% real science
-- simple lab experiments
       ( Infrared spectroscopy )
suggesting CO2 should
act as a greenhouse gas
in the atmosphere,
and cause mild, harmless 
global warming
( much less warming 
than the UN's  IPCC 
has predicted since 1988 
... and still predicts today ! )