Modern climate
"junk science"
consists of:
Self-proclaimed
experts making
assertions,
Politicians
making
assertions,
Polls,
Positive correlation
of two variables,
average temperature
and CO2 levels,
from 1975 to 2003.
( completely ignoring
the negative correlation
from 1940 to 1975,
and no correlation
from 2003 through 2018 ! )
Of course a
short-term
correlation
is not
causation.
And finally,
last but not least,
Computer game
climate models
that have made
very wrong predictions
for over three decades !
For real science,
the scientific method
consists of induction,
deduction, and
verification.
Think of induction
as a scientific guess,
perhaps an explanation
of the believed cause
of a particular event.
The scientist
next needs
to deduce
a way to test
whether his
educated guess
was correct.
Then the test
would be
executed
to see if the
expected
result
happens.
The five stages
of real science are:
(1) observations,
(2) modeling,
(3) predictions,
(4) verification, and
(5) validation.
“’Verification"
means seeing if
the predictions,
based on
the model,
really happen.
Reproducibility of
experiment results
are important too.
Unfortunately,
roughly half of
experiment results
can not be replicated
by other scientists !
Statistical tests
are also needed
to determine if a
"correct prediction"
was more likely to be
just a lucky guess.
The global
climate models
used in modern
climate "science"
have not been
verified and
validated.
Dozens of
climate models
significantly
overestimate
atmospheric
warming,
by 2x to 3x.
One Russian
climate model
seems to make
good predictions.
But ... when
only one model,
out of dozens,
seems "right",
it is very likely
to be just a
lucky guess !
The only other
explanation,
explanation,
which seems
very unlikely,
would be that
Russian scientists
have a great
understanding
of climate
change physics,
( in reality, no one does )
while all other
climate scientists,
in all other countries,
don't understand
climate change
physics at all !
Modern climate
"junk" science
ignores the
scientific method,
so should never be used
for government policies,
... as it is being used !
Modern climate
"junk" science
would have
us believe that
4.5 billion years
of natural
climate change,
suddenly ended,
in the middle of
the 20th century,
and then
carbon dioxide (CO2)
magically took over
as the most powerful
"climate controller".
The evidence for this
hard to believe assertion
is .... believe it or not ...
" because we say so ! "
Really !
In my 21 years
of climate science
reading, as a hobby,
summarized here
since 2014,
I have never found
any scientist
who even tries
to explain
to explain
how, or why,
natural
climate change
became a minor
climate variable,
and CO2 became
a major climate
variable.
There is certainly
no evidence found
in the actual
real-time
( past 150 years ),
and reconstructed
by studying proxies,
temperature data,
( past 800,000 years )_
real-time
( past 150 years ),
and reconstructed
by studying proxies,
temperature data,
( past 800,000 years )_
that CO2 was ever
a "climate controller".
There was
a warming period
from 1910 to 1940,
that was natural
global warming,
followed by
a similar
warming period,
from 1975 to 2003,
blamed on
carbon dioxide,
but 1975 to 2003
could have had
could have had
exactly the same
natural causes
as the similar
1910 to 1940
1910 to 1940
warming period.
Studies of
Antarctica
Antarctica
and Greenland
ice cores,
found that
temperature
peaks
peaks
preceded
CO2 level
peaks.
peaks.
That's exactly the opposite
of what modern climate
"junk" science claims !
Natural causes
of global warming
apparently caused
the oceans to warm
gradually, and release
some of their
dissolved CO2
into the atmosphere,
with a multi-hundred
year lag ...
just like a cold soda pop
loses carbonation
when sitting outside
on a hot day.
But ... what if I'm wrong,
and CO2 is responsible
for all of the global warming
since 1950,
( even though
( even though
the UN's IPCC
only claims
"over 50%",
with no proof
of that ! )
of that ! )
and the post-1950
rate of warming
continues
in the future.
in the future.
The rate of warming,
from 1950 to 2018,
if blamed
100% on CO2,
100% on CO2,
and extrapolated
into the future,
would lead to
only +1 degree C.
of global warming
in the next 200 years !
( with CO2 levels assumed to rise +2ppm per year )
And +1 degree C.
in 200 years,
( or even in 10 years )
would be
harmless !
harmless !
The claim
that adding
small amounts
of CO2
to the air,
every year,
is dangerous,
is a leftist hoax,
based only on
junk science
-- mainly wrong
wild guesses
of the future climate,
using computer games,
that have been making
wrong predictions
about the future climate
for the past 30 years !