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Tuesday, January 22, 2019

Climate change skepticism 101 -- start with NO scary wild guess predictions of a coming climate change catastrophe

Climate change
skeptics rely on 
real science 
for logical
climate conclusions, 
and those conclusions
may change if the 
underlying science
changes.

Skeptics don't predict 
the future climate, 
because the causes
of climate change
are not yet known --
just a list of suspects,
with their effects unknown.

Also, humans have a 
terrible track record
for predicting the future.




Following are 
four logical conclusions
about climate change,
that skeptics believe in,
because they are based 
on real science,
not unproven theories,
beliefs, or faith:

(1) 
Climate change in the past 
20,000 years was huge,
starting with mile-thick 
glaciers over Detroit 
and Chicago, that have 
since melted.

There was enough 
water runoff from
glaciers melting 
throughout the world
to raise the sea level 
by about +400 feet !

Man made CO2 
greenhouse warming
definitely did NOT cause 
the first +399.5 feet 
of the total +400 foot 
sea level rise.

Whether man made CO2
greenhouse warming 
caused ANY of the last
+0.5 feet of sea level rise,
is open to debate.



(2)
The average temperature 
of our planet is slightly warmer
than in 1880 
-- the government bureaucrats 
claim +1 degree C. warmer,
which is not very much
of a change over138 years.

Temperature measurements 
are far from precise,
so the actual average
temperature change 
could range from 
no change,  
to +2 degrees C. 
of warming.

We don't need 
measurements 
to realize the 
global warming 
since 1880 has
harmed no one.

Most of the warming 
has been mainly 
during the night,
in the six coldest months
of the year, and
in  the northern half 
of the Northern Hemisphere.

That's a pleasant 
climate change 
for the few people 
who live there!



(3)
The cause(s) of global warming
were unknown natural causes,
during the 4.5 billion years,
before 1950.

Man made CO2 may have caused
some of the warming after 1950,
although how much of that warming 
was caused by greenhouse gases
remains a mystery.

The UN's IPCC  attempts to "solve" 
that mystery by blaming CO2 
for "over half" of the global warming 
since 1950
-- but that's just a wild guess, 
not a fact, because the "over half"
claim is backed by almost no 
real science.

The only real science is 
laboratory experiments
that identify CO2 as a 
greenhouse gas.

It is merely assumed,
from lab results,
that CO2 would cause
mild, harmless
global warming
in the atmosphere too.

Mild, harmless global warming 
would scare no one,
but the climate change cult
wants people to be scared !

So they invented a water vapor
positive feedback theory,
out of thin air, in the 1970s.

Their theory arbitrarily triples
the assumed effect of 
carbon dioxide alone.

It's a fake, unproven theory
but is used by climate models 
for making (wrong) predictions
of the future climate.

I say "fake, unproven theory" 
because the climate models 
predicted roughly triple the rate 
of global warming that has 
been observed since 1950.

The observations,
starting in 1950, 
reflect overall 
climate change
similar to what 
the lab experiments
suggested, 
with no evidence 
of any warming 
amplification from 
a water vapor
positive feedback.

The fact that there
was global warming 
from 1950 to 2000,
doesn't mean man made 
CO2 was the cause
of the warming.

Actual global warming 
from 1900 to 1950,
is blamed on natural causes.

Actual global warming
from 1950 to 2000, 
is blamed on man made 
carbon dioxide.

But ... 
there's no scientific proof 
that the two warming periods
in the same twentieth century
( actually 1910 to 1940 & 1975 to 2000 )
had completely different causes !

Despite no scientific proof,
that's exactly what 
the climate change cult claims:
They claim the warming is
different this time! 

The climate change cult
claims climate change 
before 1950 was natural, 
but climate change after 1950 
is controlled by man made 
CO2 emissions ?

The climate change cult 
never even tries to explain 
how CO2 suddenly became 
the 'climate controller',
or why it happened
( because it did not happen ! )




One fact not in dispute 
is that the rate of warming 
since 1950 has been mild, 
and harmless ... 
and the rate warming 
in the past 15 years
has been very slow
-- warming less than 
an honest, conservative
margin of error
for the temperature
measurements.




If you wanted to be
a climate zealot, 
by blaming 100% 
of the global warming 
since 1950 on
man made CO2, 
and then you assumed
CO2 levels would continue 
to increase 2ppm per year, 
then you'd have 
a worst case estimate 
of the potential warming effect
of CO2 
... and the worst case result
which would be slow, 
harmless global warming,
so slow it would take 200 years 
for another + 1 degree C. 
of global warming !



(4)
There are thousands of
real science experiments
showing a higher CO2 level
in the atmosphere 
accelerates the growth 
of plants that humans
and animals use for food.

Greenhouse owners use 
CO2 enrichment systems
for doubling to tripling 
the CO2 levels inside 
their greenhouses.

Based on real science, 
it is logical to favor
a doubling to tripling 
of the CO2 level
in our atmosphere, 
to optimize the
growth of 
"C3" plants 
used for food.

Of course the benefits
of more CO2 in the air
require the fossil fuels, 
that release the CO2, 
to be burned cleanly.

Real pollution is released 
from burning fossil fuels,
and that real pollution
could offset the benefits 
of adding more CO2 
to the air.

Real pollution in Asia, 
for example,
is largely a result
of using coal 
for individual heating, 
without modern 
pollution controls, 
and from using 
antiquated electric 
generating systems.

A real pollution  problem 
from burning fossil fuels
exists in India and China,
but gets very little attention
from "environmentalists".

The so-called "environmentalists"
should be ashamed of themselves 
for their self-serving, anti-science 
attack on beneficial CO2, 
the staff of life on our planet,
while simultaneously ignoring 
the real, harmful pollution
from burning fossil fuels:
The particulates / aerosols / smog
especially visible in some Asian cities.