The last twenty years,
from 1998 to 2018,
had no statistically
significant warming,
based on UAH
weather satellite data.
There was a large
El Nino Pacific Ocean
heat release in 1998,
which happened to be
almost identical to the
late 2015 / early 2016
El Nino heat release.
El Nino's have nothing
to do with Carbon Dioxide,
so I prefer not to use them
as a starting or ending point
of any time period used to
study the average temperature.
I prefer to compare 2003 with
2018 -- and there was very little
global warming in those
15 years, in spite of a large
increase of atmospheric CO2.
The mainstream media
make sure
you don't know
that fact.
A flat global
temperature trend
was not supposed
to happen,
according to
climate models,
that were using,
and are still using,
1970's-era
assumptions
about CO2.
It's very obvious
the climate
computer models
are just complicated
computer games,
that make wrong
climate predictions.
In modern climate
junk "science",
a scary prediction
about global warming
is much more important
than a correct prediction !
The following
two points
summarize
modern climate
junk "science"
(1) The models
must be "right" !
(2) So the actuals
( measured temperature data )
must be "wrong" !
Sixty years
of weather balloon
observations show
the atmosphere
is not warming
as predicted,
originally
documented
in the 1979
Charney Report.
So just ignore the
weather balloon data !
In fact, ignore all
temperature data
that contradict
the 1970's “theory”
of CO2 warming,
unchanged since 1979,
and used in all the reports
of the United Nations'
Intergovernmental Panel
for Climate Change
(IPCC)
and the
US Global Change
Research Program
(USGCRP).
The 1979 Charney Report
speculated about
two types of energy flow,
from Earth's surface,
through the atmosphere,
and then into space:
(1)
Carbon dioxide,
absorbing some
of the outbound
long-wave infrared
radiation from the
surface to space,
as Earth cools off,
and
(2)
Increased water vapor
in the atmosphere,
as a positive feedback to (1),
absorbing even more
outbound long-wave
radiation.
"We estimate
the most probable
global warming
for a doubling of CO2
to be near +3°C.,
with a probable error
of ± 1.5°C."
"Our estimate
is based primarily
on our review of
a series of calculations
with three-dimensional
models of the global
atmospheric circulation ... "
The actual
warming rate
since 1950,
has been about
+1.0 degrees C.
per doubling of CO2,
not +3.0 degrees C.
( if you assume
CO2 was responsible
for ALL the warming
since 1950, which is
a worst case assumption ).
So what does modern climate
junk "science" do when actual
warming is only one-third
of their predicted warming?
Just ignore all
the temperature data,
and never change
the climate models !
We now have 40 years of
weather satellite knowledge
of temperature trends
in Earth's atmosphere,
excluding small
extreme polar regions,
that shows warming,
measured by the
weather satellites
since1979,
is occurring
much slower
than envisioned
by the climate models.
So ... just ignore
weather satellite data !
The atmosphere is not
warming significantly,
per weather satellites,
unlike what the computer
climate models predicted.
Surface thermometers
measure more warming
than weather satellites
measure in the troposphere.
Since greenhouse
gas warming
takes place
in the troposphere,
the warming
of Earth's surface
is indirect -- the surface
is warmed by the
warming troposphere.
The rate of
surface warming,
INDIRECTLY caused by
greenhouse gases,
can't be greater
than the rate of
troposphere warming
DIRECTLY caused by
greenhouse gases
In fact,
physicist Will Happer
has estimated that
if greenhouse gases
are causing
the surface warming,
then the rate of
atmospheric warming
must be 20% greater
than the rate of
surface warming.
Surface thermometers
show faster warming
than weather satellites
in the troposphere,
which capture everything
except for two small
extreme polar regions.
So surface thermometers
may be wrong --
one likely reason
is that over half
of our planet's surface
has no thermometers,
so temperatures there
are wild guessed
by government
bureaucrats
to compile a global
average surface
temperature.
Perhaps the
surface thermometers
are right, and the surface
is warming faster
than the troposphere
-- if so, there must be
another cause
of surface warming,
unrelated to
greenhouse gases.