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Monday, January 14, 2019

Sea level rise measured with satellite altimetry makes no sense ... unless you want to scare people !

Satellite 
altimetry 
does NOT 
accurately 
measure 
sea level rise 
over time.

The satellite 
"measurements" 
show about 
1.5x faster 
sea level rise 
than the best 
tide gauges 
( "dGPS" ), 
where vertical 
land motion 
is corrected 
with satellite 
differential GPS.

There is a rise of 
+3.4mm per year 
with satellite altimetry, 
versus +2.2mm per year 
for dGPS tide gauges.

GPS measurements 
have been around 
less than 20 years, 
but many tide gauges 
have been working
for 100 years or more. 



Satellite altimetry 
uses radar 
signal returns, 
reflected off 
a wavy ocean surface, 
to estimate sea level 
from the timing 
of the signal, 
from generation 
to receipt. 

This is similar to 
a range estimating
radar systems 
used for military 
and commercial 
aviation.

Military cruise missiles 
need ranges in meters.

Commercial aviation 
aircraft avoidance 
concerns kilometers 
between planes.

But sea level changes 
are measured in 
tiny millimeters 
per year !





The Jason3 satellite 
was launched 
into polar orbit 
on 1/17/2016. 

The Jason3 
product handbook 
version 1.5, 
was issued 9/17/18.

Jason 3 satellite data 
overlap Jason2 
satellite data, 
and shows 
significantly less 
sea level rise 
in the overlap period. 

NASA's Jason3 
‘product’ manual 
claims a precision of
 3.3 centimeters 
( Sea Level Rise RMS pixel precision ). 

No statistics can reduce 
a minimum repeatable 
precision error of >3 cm,
 to the ‘average accuracy’ 
of 0.1 mm that NASA claims
 ( the .Jason3 product manual 
§1.4.4 says all distance units 
are reported in units of 1/10 millimeter ) ! 

NASA's Jason3 information 
say it's ‘grouping’ precision 
is 3.3 cm, which is 
deceitfully reported 
as 0.1mm. 

Claiming 
to measure 
something 
to 0.1mm, 
using a tool 
that has 3.3 cm 
resolution, 
is an exercise 
in magic 
( junk science ).

Measurements 
with a low degree 
of precision 
can not be 
miraculously 
transformed 
into a 
high resolution, 
high precision 
number !




Ocean seawater is NOT level 
because of a lumpy 
planetary gravity field.

Here they are 
measuring sea level, 
at a variety of places, 
at different times, 
and in different conditions. 

The satellite orbits precess, 
so each revolution
sees a different view.

This is NOT 
multiple measurements, 
of the same thing, 
at the same time, 
which could improve 
measurement accuracy.

Every measurement 
is at a different location, 
and by the time 
a second measurement 
is made at the same location, 
the tide has changed. 

The uncertainty
of multiple measurements,
of multiple things, 
at multiple times, 
can not be “averaged out”. 

It remains in the final product. 




Radar altimetry results
disagree with 
other available data.

And the 
claimed accuracy
is not credible.

Of course accuracy 
and precision 
don’t mean much 
when the 
mainstream media 
publish so many 
fairy tales about 
a multi-meter 
sea level rise 
by 2100, with 
artist’s renditions 
of flooded 
city streets
... fairy tales 
which are 
never challenged. 

Arguing between 
2mm or 3 mm per year 
of sea level rise, 
may be pointless 
when 
Scientific American, 
National Geographic, 
and various newspapers, 
print fictional stories, 
telling their readers 
to expect ten times 
that amount 
of sea level rise,
in fairy tales 
which are 
never challenged.

Maldives Islands, 
that were going to 
disappear under 
the rising waters
years ago,
are now home 
to dozens of new 
oceanfront resorts.

And the “rich green 
leftist intelligentsia” 
are still buying 
oceanfront property 
all over the world.


The satellite-measured 
sea level rise rate
is 1.5x faster 
than what 
dGPS corrected 
tide gauges report. 

There is no logical reason 
to use satellite altimetry 
to measure tiny changes 
in sea level.

But satellites ARE used, 
because they show 
significantly faster 
sea level rise 
than the best tide gauges.

In modern climate
junk science, whatever 
measurement methodology
shows the most warming, 
or the fastest sea level rise,
is used, and all other 
measurement methodologies 
are ignored, or slandered.

That's climate junk science,
not real climate science !