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Saturday, February 2, 2019

Climate Science 101 -- A Twenty Minute Course For Busy People

I've been reading 
about climate science 
since 1997, as a hobby. 

The first thing I noticed
was two different subjects:

(1)
Real climate science
and


(2)
Junk climate science,
called "climate change":
in the mainstream media.



Real climate science 
studies the past climate,
and tried to explain 
exactly what caused 
past climate changes.

They do have 
a good theory
to explain the 
very important 
100,000 year cycles, 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles
but no one seems 
to care about those
huge climate changes.

Everyone seems focused
on harmless, minor
climate changes, 
of one or two degrees C.
spread over a century or two.


Why anyone would care
about climate changes
so small that no one would
even notice them ... 
( if not for braying leftists
bellowing that we are doomed )
... is a mystery to me !




Real climate science
covers the sun, clouds,
oceans, glaciers, 
greenhouse gases, etc. 

There are many questions
still needing answers !

No one knows what 
the climate will be like
in the next 15 years,
but everyone knows
it has barely changed
in the past 15 years.

Everyone knows that
global warming in the
past 20,000 years, starting
when Chicago and Detroit
were covered with glaciers,
was 100% good news.



Almost all articles in the 
mainstream media 
are on "climate change",
not climate science.




"Climate change"
is focused on 
the future climate,
( as if anyone really knows
what the future will bring. )




"Climate change" 
jumps to 
many conclusions:

(1) 
Humans control 
the climate, almost 
entirely through 
one variable:
carbon dioxide,
emitted from 
burning fossil fuels !,
and 

(2) 
The belief that 
future climate change
will only be global warming,
which will be 100% bad news !

And the proof" 
of those two beliefs is ...
well, there is no proof,
but a lot of leftist scientists
say so, and they have been 
saying so every year
since the 1970's, 
so "because we say so"
is the proof ! 

Our planet did get 
a few tenths of a degree
warmer from 1975
to 2003, but the average
temperature has barely
changed since 2003.

The mild global warming, 
measured by satellites
since 1979, has been mainly
in the northern half of the 
Northern Hemisphere,
mainly at night, and mainly 
in the six coldest months 
of the year.

Slightly warmer 
winter nights 
are good news, 
for the few people
who live there,
not bad news !





"Climate change"
ignores the 
big climate changes, 
such as melting of glaciers 
that covered Chicago 
and Detroit 20,000 years ago.

"Climate change" 
does start with a little
real science, but then
quickly degenerates into 
wild guess assumptions, 
and scary speculation.

The real science
is lab experiments,
proving CO2 is 
a greenhouse gas,
that may cause
mild, harmless 
global warming
in the atmosphere.

Almost everything
else said about 
"climate change"
is speculation,
not real science.

The speculation
is that man made CO2 
will cause dangerous 
global warming
in the future.

We've been hearing that
warning for thirty years,
but "in the future"
are the three words
that never change !

That scary speculation  
has been contradicted 
by actual temperature
measurements since 1940,
of mild, harmless,
intermittent warming,
as CO2 levels rose,
not to mention the
lab experiments 
had predicted 
mild, harmless 
warming too !

What's wrong with 
mild, harmless warming,
mainly at night ?

Absolutely nothing.





"Climate change"
adds up to a fake"crisis",
created by leftists 
to scare people, 
who are then told 
only their government 
can solve the "crisis".

The leftist goal 
for "climate change"
is to use their fake "crisis"
to gain more political power,
moving toward to socialism.

Real science is not used,
because it sees 
CO2 as harmless,
based on actual 
temperature measurements,
and laboratory experiments.

"Climate change"
is mainly junk science,
and has been 
for three decades. 





Based on real science,
adding CO2 to the air
is beneficial for our planet.

CO2 is significantly 'greening'
our planet: +15% in the 
satellite age, so far.




It's a reasonable 
assumption,
but not a proven fact,
that rising CO2 levels
should cause some amount
of mild global warming, 

But be aware that
global warming
has actually 
been in progress 
for 20,000 years.

And very little,
if any, 
of the warming 
was caused
by man made CO2 !

Enough glaciers have melted
to raise sea level by 400 feet
in the past 20,000 years !

It is possible, 
but not proven,
that the last +0.5 foot 
of the +400 foot sea level rise,
may have been caused 
by warming from CO2.

No one knows for sure !




Government bureaucrats
claim a mere +1 degree C.
of global warming 
since 1880,
although that number 
is based on 
too few measurements 
before World War II.

Has +1 degree C. harmed anyone?

No !

So, why should anyone care?

No one should care !





The ever changing climate 
of our planet includes
a 100,000-year cycle, 
of about 90,000 cold years,
followed by 10,000 warm
years, called interglacials.

We are currently about 
10,000 years into the 
Holocene interglacial.

When our interglacial ends, 
which could be tomorrow, 
or 1,000 years from now,
expect Chicago and Detroit 
to eventually be under
mile thick ice glaciers again,
just as they were 20,000
years ago.

Those 100,000-year cycles 
have nothing to do 
with burning fossil fuels,
and carbon dioxide emissions
... and everything to do 
with planetary geometry.

Other climate variations,
such as the minor 
temperature trends 
within the interglacials
-- plus or minus one or two
degrees C., over 100 to 200
years -- are not important, 
but that's all the leftists focus on !





Real climate science 
is many questions, 
and not enough answers:

(1) 
The causes of global warming 
are unproven guesses, 


(2)
CO2 levels do not 'control'
the average temperature
of our planet:
  Since 1940, CO2 levels 
increased in every decade,
yet the average temperature
had three different trends:
  Down from 1940 to 1975, 
up from 1975 to 2003, 
and sideways since 2003 !


(3) 
The future climate 
is impossible to predict.

We already have 30 years 
of very wrong 
computer model predictions,
averaging triple the warming 
that actually happened !

Yet smarmy computer modelers
seem to keep using 
the same 'CO2 formula',
from the 1970s, 
with no revisions,
as if their real goal 
is to keep predicting
triple the global warming 
that actually happens !

For leftist politicians, 
scary predictions 
are the primary goal of 
"climate change",
not good science !




Climate scaremongers 
ignore the pleasant 
current climate, 
to focus on writing
scary fairy tales about 
the FUTURE climate,
as if they really knew
the future climate !

"Climate change"
resembles a religion.





Extrapolating the 
actual global warming rate, 
from 1940 through 2018,
into the future, 
and blaming
all the warming
on carbon dioxide,
would give us 
only +1 degree C.  
of harmless 
global warming 
in the next 200 years ! 
( assuming CO2 levels continue to rise 2ppm per year )




So why do leftists
demonize CO2 ?

Because they
have created 
an imaginary 
environmental 
“crisis”.

They want all leftists 
to virtue signal
that they are trying
to fight the "crisis",
'to save the world
for the children'.

In leftist minds, 
any "crisis", 
whether real ,
or imaginary,
is a great opportunity 
to expand 
government powers.





"Climate change"
is the latest 
in a series of
fake environmental 
crises, since the 1960s.

When people stopped 
paying attention to one
fake crisis, another 
fake crisis was promoted 
to replace it:
- DDT,
- Acid rain,
- Hole in the ozone layer,
- Global cooling, and now 
- Global warming.






Unlike real science, 
where theories
are supported by data, 
and can be "falsified",
( proven false )
"climate change" 
is beliefs, based on faith,
so can never be refuted 
with facts, data and logic. 

Leftists are demonizing 
very beneficial CO2, 
for selfish political
and financial gains. 

Meanwhile, smart
greenhouse owners 
buy CO2 enrichment
systems, and use them 
to accelerate the growth 
of their plants !

Leftists demonize CO2 
to gain political power, 
and get government subsidies
to keep their alternative energy
industry alive.



Leftists always want 
more political power !

"Climate change"
helps them get 
more power !




"Climate change" 
is the use of junk science
in the pursuit of money
and political power.

-- The future climate is claimed
to be known with great confidence,
... in spite of the fact that 
"climate change" believers 
have made 
wrong climate predictions
for the past thirty years,
using their computer games !


-- Man made CO2 is claimed
to control our planet's temperature,
...in spite of the fact that 
there have been three different 
correlation relationships between 
CO2 and temperature since 1940 !




Real climate science
is the pursuit of knowledge
about our planet's climate.

-- The future climate is unknown,
and the causes of climate change
are just a long list of suspects,
with many unanswered questions.

Yes, real climate science is boring,
with so many unanswered questions.

"Climate change" 
is more exciting, with its 
'scary campfire fairy tales' 
of a coming climate "crisis" , 
stated with great certainty
... that we've been patiently
waiting for since the 1970s !




People seeking knowledge,
study climate science.

People seeking great  
entertainment, and excitement
study "climate change".