Consensus climatology
consists of only the
overheated models, and
inflated CO2 emission
estimates.
Most of the models,
when averaged, predict
a global warming rate
two to three times the global
warming rate since 1979
-- and quadruple the
warming rate since 1940.
Only one climate model has
accurately tracked temperature
trends over the past 40 years
—the Russian INM-CM4.
When INM-CM4 is run with
a reasonable CO2 emission
scenario where natural gas
continues to replace coal,
as an electricity fuel, the world
achieves the Paris climate
treaty’s +1.5°C (arbitrary)
warming limit, with no
new climate policies.
If climate change was a
real crisis, we would not
have so much good news:
During 1950-2015,
global life expectancy
increased by 48%,
from 48 years
to 71.4 years,
including a 68%
increase in Africa,
the poorest continent.
U.S. and global yields
of corn, wheat, rice, and
soybeans have increased
every decade since 1960.
Undernourishment in developing
countries has decreased from
34.7% of the population in 1970
to 12.9% in 2015.
During 2000-2015, malaria
infections and death rates
fell by 37% and 60%
respectively.
Since the 1920s,
the individual risk
of dying from extreme
weather globally has
decreased by 99%
Since the early 1970s,
there has been no trend
in global Accumulated
Cyclone Energy, a measure
of total hurricane and typhoon
strength.[12]
Since the 1920s, there has been
no increase in flood magnitudes
in any region of the United States.
Since 1900, there has been
no nationwide increase in drought
as measured by the Palmer
Drought Severity Index.
Globally, the total area burned
by wildfires in the 2000s was
smaller than in every previous
decade of the past hundred years.
Jia Yang et al.,
“Spatial and temporal patterns
of global burned area in response
to anthropogenic and environmental
factors: Reconstructing global
fire history for the 20th
and early 21st centuries,”
Journal of Geophysical Research:
Biogeosciences, (2014), Figure 6
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/2013JG002532
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/2013JG002532
Since 1880, global average
sea levels have risen about
eight inches, with no known
economic impact.
U.S. Global Change
Research Program,
“Sea Level Rise,”
Evidence of a recent acceleration
in sea level rise is mixed.
Satellite data suggest sea levels
rose by 3.2 mm/year during 1993-2010
— significantly faster than the
long-term (1901-2010) rate of
1.7 mm/year.
IPCC AR5, Summary for Policymakers, p. 11,
But 57 U.S. tide gauge records
going back 60 to 156 years show
no recent acceleration in sea level rise.
J. R. Houston and R. G. Dean. 2011,
“Sea-Level Acceleration Based on
U.S. Tide Gauges and Extensions
of Previous Global-Gauge Analyses,”
Journal of Coastal Research,
Vol. 27, Issue 3, pp. 409–417,
Case studies of Japanese,
Philippine, and Indonesian
coastal communities
experiencing one to five meters
of rapid relative sea level rise
due to earthquake- or
human-induced land subsidence
“found no evidence
that these areas
will be abandoned.”
This suggests coastal
and island populations
will be able to adapt
to rising sea levels
“given that even the highest
sea-level rise scenarios
are projected to happen
at much slower rates than
the case studies outlined.”
Miguel Esteban, et al.
“Adaptation to sea level rise
on low coral islands: Lessons
from recent events,”
Ocean and Coastal Management,
Vol. 168 (2019), pp. 35-40,
The propaganda of a coming
“planetary emergency”
is from overheated climate models,
inflated future emission scenarios,
and total disregard of actual data
on human health and well-being
in the past 150 years, as CO2
in the atmospher increased.