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Thursday, June 6, 2019

Remembering the 2009 ClimateGate stolen e-mails

 "Climategate" 
was the 2009
leaked e-mails 
from the University 
of East Anglia's 
Climatic Research Unit,
( and more e-mails in 2011 ).

These e-mails were among the small 
group of scientists who drive the 
worldwide alarm over global warming,
through the role they play for the 
UN's Intergovernmental Panel 
on Climate Change (IPCC).

CRU's Director Professor Philip Jones
was in charge of the two key sets of data 
used by the IPCC for its reports. 



The senders and recipients of 
the leaked CRU emails included:

Michael "Hockey Stick Chart" Mann,

Phil Jones and his CRU colleague 
Keith Briffa, 

Ben Santer, responsible for 
a controversial rewriting 
of key passages 
in the IPCC's 1995 report; 

Kevin Trenberth, 
who pushed the IPCC into
scaremongering over
hurricane activity; and 

Gavin Schmidt, 
right-hand man 
to Dr James Hansen, 
whose own NASA-GISS record 
of surface temperature data 
is second in importance
to that of the CRU itself.




The series of emails show how 
Phil Jones and his colleagues 
had repeatedly been discussing,
over many years, devious tactics 
to avoid releasing their data 
to outsiders, under freedom 
of information laws.

Phil Jones's 
refusal to release 
the basic data, 
from which the 
CRU derives 
its hugely influential 
temperature record, 
was accompanied 
by his claim that 
much of the raw data 
from all over the world ,
had simply got "lost". 

More incriminating are e-mails 
in which scientists are advised 
to delete large chunks of data
... when this is done 
after receipt of a freedom 
of information request, 
is a crime.

What is it that 
these scientists 
seem so anxious 
to hide ? 




Leaked documents 
clearly showed
the scientists trying to 
manipulate data only
in the direction of 
lowering past temperatures, 
and "adjusting" recent 
temperatures upwards, 
both creating a faster rate
of global warming. 

This comes up often
in the "Harry Read Me" file.

The Harry Read Me file shows
CRU scientists frustrated that
complex computer programs
made it difficult to get 
the results they desired !

These climate academics silenced 
any expert questioning of their findings,
by refusing to disclose their basic data, 
and by 'freezing out' any scientific journal 
which dared to publish their critics' work. 



EXAMPLES:
March 2, 2001: 
Chick Keller, of the 
Institute of Geophysics 
and Planetary Physics at the University 
of California at San Diego, United States, 
writes to Mike Mann, Ray Bradley, Phil Jones, 
Keith Briffa, Tom Crowley, Jonathan Overpeck, 
Tom Wigley, and Mike MacCracken, 
pointing out problems in the historical 
temperature estimates obtained from 
individual “proxy” methods:

"Anyone looking at the records 
gets the impression that the 
temperature variation for many 
individual records or sites 
over the past 1000 years or so 
is often larger than 1° Celsius.
 ... And they see this as evidence 
that the 0.8° Celsius or so 
temperature rise 
in the 20th century 
is not all that special."


He then makes note of a trick 
that they have used to mask this effect:
"The community of climate scientists,
however, in making averages of 
different proxies gets a much smaller 
amplitude of about 0.5° Celsius
which they say shows that reasonable 
combinations of effects can indeed 
explain this and that the 20th century 
warming is unique."


Keller provides 
an excellent summary 
of the debate:
"Thus, the impasse—one side the skeptics 
pointing to large temperature variations 
in many records around the globe
and the other side saying, Yes, but not 
at the same time and so, if averaged out, 
is no big deal.

" ... there might be something wrong 
with our rationale that the average 
does not vary much even though 
many regions see large variations."

"This may be the nub of the disagreement, 
and until we answer it, many careful scientists 
will decide the issue is still unsettled
and that indeed climate in the past
 may well have varied as much or more 
than in the last hundred years."

They knew, more than 
eight years before the 
ClimateGate whistle-blower 
released these emails, 
that the entire basis of their 
unprecedented warming claim 
was on shaky ground.




October 6, 2009: 
Martin Lutyens, 
of the British CO2morrow project, 
writes to the Climatic Research
Unit’s Andrew Manning, 
the scientific consultant 
to CO2morrow:
"I just came across an article in The Week, 
called “The case of the vanishing data”."

"It writes in a rather wry and skeptical way 
about your University of East Anglia 
colleagues Phil Jones and Tom Wigley, 
saying that only their “homogenised” 
or “adjusted” historical data is available, 
and the original, raw data has gone missing." 

"According to the article, the adjusted data 
forms the basis for much of the climate change 
debate and, because others now want to look
at the source data, it is “at the centre of 
an academic spat that could 
have major implications 
for the climate change debate”. 




October 27, 2009: 
Mikael Mann’s last words before 
the e-mails were hacked:

To Phil Jones and Gavin Schmidt:
"As we all know, 
this isn’t about 
truth at all
its about 
plausibly 
deniable 
accusations."

"Be a bit careful about 
what information you send to 
Andy Revkin of The New York Times 
and what emails you copy him in on. 

He’s not as predictable as we’d like."


All the 2009 e-Mails can be read here:
https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf