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Thursday, July 18, 2019

Changing the closed mind of a climate alarmist -- is it possible?

Recycled from April 2019,
and slightly edited:

Of course the climate alarmist must 
have some critical thinking skills
on the subject of climate science. 

And the climate alarmist 
must believe there's a possibility
predictions of the future climate 
could be wrong,

Those two qualifications 
may eliminate 99% 
of all climate alarmists !



In this article, I try to keep the terms
simple, because I'm discussing
how to talk to climate alarmists,
who are usually simpletons 
on the subject of climate science.

For example:
When I say "temperature", I really mean
the global average surface temperature
anomaly, in Celsius degrees.



"Debating" leftists is almost impossible,
because leftists don't debate anything
they believe in -- maybe for 30 seconds,
but they will either change the subject
( polite leftists ), or character attack
you ( "Are you a science denier? " )
to stop any debate !



You have to get the climate alarmist 
to agree with something you say, 
that does NOT immediately label you 
as a climate change skeptic.

For example, here in Michigan,
if the climate change subject ever
comes up, we point to the ground
and say:

"This property 
was covered
with a mile of ice 
20,000 years ago --
then it all melted 
in 10,000 years !"

That fact usually makes a climate 
alarmist stop, and think -- and you can 
tell they are thinking, because steam
is coming out of their ears !

Then we say: 
"Burning coal and gasoline
didn't cause all that ice to melt !" 

It's impossible to argue with that,
since all the ice had melted by 
10,000 years ago.

And that's the end of the discussion.

The fact that a lot of global warming 
can happen without burning fossil fuels, 
has been stated.

Outside of Detroit, Chicago or Canada,
I doubt if an ice glaciers story is likely
to have much of an effect.




Here's an alternative argument.

For use after you 
hear someone say 
something like this:
 'The future climate 
will be a disaster, 
unless we act now'.

Ask if it's possible 
the predictions 
of a future 
climate disaster 
could be wrong.

If the answer is "NO", 
you are talking to 
an irrational person
-- no debate is possible.


You may also get the 
typical climate alarmist
(non) answer: 

"We have to act now 
because if we wait 
it will be too late !",

That's also irrational, 
but you still have 
a small chance 
to change a mind.


Ask that person 
a serious question:

"If the temperature 
went up only 
half a degree
in the next 80 years, 
would you consider
that a victory over 
climate change ?"

A rational climate alarmist
( an oxymoron ? )
should say half a degree
warming in the next 80 years
would not be a disaster.

Then ask if six tenths 
of a degree warming
in the next 80 years 
would be a disaster.

Hopefully not, 
if half a degree warming
was not considered a disaster.

Then you get to the "punchlines":

"Did you know the temperature
went up only six tenths of a degree
in the past 78 years, as we added 
lots of CO2 to the air every year ?"

Before they have a chance 
to respond, you add:

"And did you know every increase
of CO2 has LESS of a global warming effect than the prior increase ?"

The typical response:
"Who told you that ? "

Your decisive answer:
"You may want to look that up
-- 100% of scientists agree 
on what I've just told you !"

You have made your point about
past climate change, during the
age of man made CO2,
starting in 1940, 78 years ago.

Hopefully, 
you have created doubt 
that global warming 
in the next 78 years 
has to be be worse 
than in the past 78 years.

And you may have 
changed one mind
about the irrational fear
of future global warming ! 

So quickly change the subject -- 
there's no need for any more
"debate".