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Monday, July 8, 2019

The big changes in Chinese solar and wind energy plans

A private jet pilot,
son of a friend,
has been flying
into China from 
Michigan for the
past 20 years.

He claims the economic
growth in China
has been amazing
to watch from the air, 
as a nation of 'bicycles
transitioned to a nation
of cars and trucks' ...
but the air pollution 
growth was depressing.

There's so much air
pollution in China
that some of it 
drifts to the U.S.
"left coast", where it 
causes an IQ point decline 
of one point per year.

Or so I've heard !

U.S. environmentalists
are very quiet on the
subject of real pollution
in China.

China certainly has 
a serious real air pollution 
problem in urban areas.

But ... 
China is cutting back 
on solar and wind units 
due to their cost, 
the ballooning subsidies 
the state owes the solar 
and wind power builders, 
and the lack 
of grid-connected 
transmission capacity. 

China has placed the 
financial responsibility 
for the units on the 
local governments and 
requires any solar 
or wind power built 
to be cheaper than
the benchmark 
coal price. 

China appears to be
moving toward a
market-based approach 
for electricity generation,
while the United States
has large subsidies 
for renewable energy 
sources !

China’s National Development 
and Reform Commission 
and the National Energy 
Administration provided 
a series of conditions 
required for new solar 
and wind project
approvals though  
the end of 2020. 

The price must match, 
or beat, the national 
coal benchmark price,
and the projects 
must prove the grid 
can handle their output. 

In 2017, 12% percent of 
wind generation, and 
6% of solar generation, 
was curtailed due to 
the lack of transmission 
capacity.

The national government 
has also moved 
“financial responsibility” 
for solar projects 
to local governments.

The target 
for utility-scale 
solar PV projects 
of 13.9 gigawatts, 
originlaly set in 2018, 
has been abolished.

In 2017, China’s distributed 
generation solar projects 
were over 19 gigawatts, 
and the utility scale solar 
PV projects were almost 
34 gigawatts of capacity, 
totaling over 53 gigawatts 
of total PV installations
-- a record high.




At the end of December 2018,
two 500-megawatt solar power 
plants were connected to the grid, 
one less expensive than China’s 
coal benchmark price selling
power for around five U.S. cents 
(0.316 yuan), less than the 
benchmark price for coal 
at 0.325 yuan. 

Output from large-scale solar 
projects built in the desert regions 
of northwest China is frequently 
curtailed because the grid 
cannot distribute it. 

In early 2017, Xinjiang province 
curtailed 39% of the solar power 
available to it, and neighboring 
Gansu province curtailed 19%.


In its 13th Five-Year Plan, 
China set a ceiling for 
total coal capacity 
at 1,100 gigawatts
-- more than the total 
generating capacity 
from all energy sources 
in the United States. 

China’s current 
coal capacity 
is 993 gigawatts
—over four times 
as much as 
the coal capacity 
in the United States
—and China has over 
250 gigawatts of 
additional coal capacity 
under construction. 

This means China 
is building new coal 
capacity that exceeds
all coal power plants
currently generating 
electricity in the U.S.
( that new China coal capacity
is in addition to their huge 
existing coal capacity ) !