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Monday, August 19, 2019

Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) has been a green dream -- it's more like a very expensive nightmare

Carbon Capture 
and Sequestration 
          (CCS) 
is a long time
'green' dream.


More like a nightmare,
because CCS is:
(A)
Very expensive.

(B)
Technically difficult. 

(C)
Likely to be a money loser
for investors, even if feasible.




Three Demonstration Projects:
(1)
There is only one power plant 
in the world with partial CC:
  SaskPower’s Boundary Dam 
project in Canada, which began 
operation in fall 2014 at a 
CC only cost of $1.5 billion. 

The plan was to convert 
the coal fired generating unit #3 
to CC, capturing 800,000 
metric tons of CO2 annually 
to sell for tertiary oil recovery 
in Saskatchewan’s nearby 
Weyburn oil field. 

For 2017 and 208) 
the average Unit 3 
uptime was only 70% 
(severe maintenance problems), 
while the CC parasitic 
electrical load has run about 
30%, rather than the planned 25%. 

On July 10, 2018 SaskPower 
announced it would not be 
expanding CC to units 1 and 2 
as originally planned.




(2)
There is only one US 
sequestration only 
demonstration, 
the ADM/DOE project 
in Decatur, Illinois. 

The plan was to sequester CO2 
from ADM’s Decatur ethanol 
operations (no CC problem) 
in the brine filled Mt. Simon 
sandstone formation 7000 feet 
below Decatur. 

The demonstration project 
cost $208 million, with the 
U.S. department of Energy
contributing $141 million. 

The goal was 1 million tons 
sequestered over 3 years, 
at an injection rate of ~1000tpd. 

That goal was never reached.

The injected CO2 
reacted with the brine 
to form mineralization 
that slowly plugged 
the sandstone injection sites, 
necessitating ever more 
injection wells. 

In 2018 ADM announced 
that it was delaying 
its more ambitious 
next phase despite 
the neat little provision 
(26 USC 45Q) tucked into 
the February 2018 tax bill 
providing an inflation indexed 
$20/CCS CO2 ton tax credit.




(3)
A July 31, 2019 Forbes article 
describes a zero net emissions 
25MWe natural gas fired electricity 
generating demonstration plant 
in La Porte, Texas ( near Houston ). 

It uses a new ‘Allam’ cycle, 
where the effective turbine 
working fluid is CO2. 

The idea is to burn 
the natural gas in a 
high pressure 
pure oxygen environment, 
thereby preventing 
a carbon capture problem. 

The demonstration plant 
plans to sell the resulting 
pure CO2 either to industry 
or for Texas tertiary oil recovery. 

Startup was in June 2019.

The ‘Allam’ cycle was invented by 
North Carolina startup Net Power.

Combusting natural gas 
with pure oxygen requires 
an air separation unit (ASU). 

The demonstration plant 
has its own cryogenic ASU, 
meaning big compressors, 
heat exchanger fans, 
and lots of electricity
required. 

Net Power claims the 
25MWe demonstration plant 
cost $140 million. 

That implies capacity 
costs of $5600/KW. 

The demonstration plant 
is 50MWth and 25MWe.

That means it runs at
50% thermal efficiency. 

Net Power says 
the parasitic ASU load 
is planned to be 29%.

That means the plant's
maximum salable 
electrical output 
is only 17MW, 
not the 25MW
meaning its 
true capital cost 
is $8235/KW, 
not the $5600/KW,  
as Net Power implied.