When the subject
is the future climate
on this planet,
what scientists say
is irrelevant,
likely to be
no more "accurate"
than a coin toss.
That message is what
I hope everyone will
get from this blog.
We have 325 years
of actual experinece
with intermittent global
warming, probably
at least +2 degrees C.
warming since the cold 1690s.
Of those 325 years,
78 included large
increases of CO2
from burning fossil fuels
(1940 through 2018).
Also accompanied
by intermittent
global warming.
Real climate scientists
are still trying to explain
what caused past climate
changes.
Always wrong wild guesses
of the future climate are
not real science.
Climate computer games
that predict an average***
future global warming
at a rate QUADRUPLE
the actual global warming
rate from 1940 through
2018, are not real science.
The +3.2 degrees C. warming
predicted in the next century,
by the average climate model***,
is QUADRUPLE the actual
+0.77 degree warming rate
per century from 1940
through 2018.
( the +0.6 degrees C.
of actual global warming
in the 78 years, from 1940
through 2018, is equivalent
to +0.77 degrees C. per century )
*** Excluding one
Russian climate model,
that seems to predict future
global warming at the same
rate as past global warming.
As a result of over 60 years
of wrong long term climate
predictions, you should
never buy a used car
from a climate scientist !
Unfortunately,
the mass media
is always looking
for a scary story,
especially when
they can quote
some "expert",
especially
a scientist.
Unfortunately,
there are scientists
seeking attention,
who know predicting
bad news will get them
attention and fame.
This seemed to start
in the 1970's when
a small subset
of scientists
got a huge amount
of attention by viewing
about +0.3 degrees C.
of global cooling from
1940 to 1975, and then
extrapolating a coming
global cooling disaster.
Most scientists at the time
did not make long term
climate predictions,
but most believed CO2
would cause mild
warming the future.
Believe it or not,
the 1940 to 1975 cooling
has been gradually
"adjusted" away, and
soon the "official record"
will show no cooling in that
period -- that's junk science,
of course, but so are the
always wrong predictions
of a coming climate crisis !
Climate scientists'
wild guess predictions,
and data tampering,
have destroyed the
reputation of scientists,
in general.
But science has given
us useful information
about other subjects:
For example:
(1)
There have been media
stories about radiation
from cell phones, especially
for children who start using
them at a very young age.
Some "experts", including
the World Health Organization,
supported that scare
with questionable studies
( it's starting again, for 5G phones,
which should be investigated )
What scientists say
people SHOULD
worry about:
-- Texting while driving !
(2)
There have been media
stories about people getting
sick from eating bacteria
tainted produce and meats,
and the potential dangers
of pesticides on produce.
What scientists say
people SHOULD
worry about:
-- Not eating enough
fruits and vegetables !
-- Washing your hands
thoroughly (20 seconds)
before handling food:
Food poisoning caused
by improper food handling
is 100x - 200x more common !
(3)
There have been media
stories, every summer,
about people getting
attacked by sharks,
or at least about
shark sightings
near beaches
What scientists say
people SHOULD
worry about:
-- Getting too much sun !
-- Not using enough sunscreen !
(4)
There have been media
stories about people
getting infected by
"superbugs", often in
hospitals, when they
are weak from some
other disease.
What scientists say
people SHOULD
worry about:
-- Antibiotic resistance
from taking too many
antibiotics,
the most commonly
prescribed medicines,
roughly twice as often
as medically necessary.
You have not been cheated
if you walk out of a doctor's
office WITHOUT a prescription !