The obvious goal
of climate alarmism
is to scare people
about an imaginary
future climate crisis,
who will then demand
that their government
take charge, and
"do something".
The goal is not
making accurate
predictions of the
future climate.
Few American know
there have been
over 30 years of
wrong predictions.
The predictions are
based on outputs
from computer
climate models.
Few Americans know
that models are just
opinions -- computers
predict what the people
who programmed them
want to see.
Computer outputs are
opinions, not real data.
If the computer model
predictions were accurate,
then they might reflect
a good understanding
of what causes
the climate to change.
But climate "model"
forecasting failures
are well documented,
concerning
global temperatures,
and also wrong about
humidity, rainfall,
drought and clouds.
Their failures
are even worse
for regional and
local predictions.
Predictions of the
upper tropospheric
water vapor have been
completely wrong too.
This particular error
is popularly called the
“the missing hot spot”,
about 10km up
in the tropics.
There is an alleged
warming amplification
( aka "positive feedback"),
from water vapor, that
allegedly doubles or
triples the alleged
warming effect
of CO2 alone.
"… (most) models
overestimate the
warming trend in the
tropical troposphere
…The cause of this
bias remains elusive."
IPCC Fifth Assessment Report,
second order draft,
Chapter Nine, page 218
IPCC conclusions
and predictions
are based on
the logical fallacy
called Argument
from Authority,***
not a thorough
understanding of
what actually causes
climate change.
*** "We're big shot
scientists, and
we say so!"
Surveys show
most engineers
and geologists
do NOT agree
with the IPCC’s
level of certainty.
(Lefsrud and Meyer (2012)
Science or Science Fiction?
Professionals’ Discursive
Construction of Climate Change,
Organization Studies, vol. 33, 11:
pp. 1477-1506. ,
Half of the worlds
meteorologists
do NOT agree
with the IPCC’s
level of certainty.
(Maibach, E., Perkins, D.
Timm, K., Myers, T.,
Woods Placky, B.,
et al. (2017).
A 2017 National Survey
of Broadcast Meteorologists:
Initial Findings.
George Mason University,
Fairfax, VA: Center for
Climate Change
Communication)
Even
climate
scientists
scientists
do NOT agree
with the
IPCC’s level
IPCC’s level
of certainty.
(Bart Strengers,
Bart Verheggen
and Kees Vringer (2015)
Climate Science Survey,
Questions and Responses,
PBL Netherlands
Environmental
Assessment
Agency, pp 1 – 39)
But never mind that:
"the science is settled" !