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Monday, October 28, 2019

Australia Temperature-Related Mortality -- Cold Weather kills six times more often than Hot Weather

Cheng, J., Xu, Z.,
Bambrick, H., Su, H., 
Tong, S. and Hu, W. 

2019

Impacts of heat, cold, 
and temperature variability
on mortality in Australia, 
2000-2009. 

Science of the Total Environment 651: 
2558-2565.



NOTE:
The U.S. Environmental 
Protection Agency's (EPA) 
Endangerment Finding, 
issued under Barack Obama,
incorrectly called CO2, 
the staff of life on our planet,  
a dangerous air pollutant.

The Trump Administration
hasn't changed the EPA finding.

The alleged concern was that 
rising CO2 was causing increases 
in heat-related deaths. 

A new study, Cheng et al. (2019), 
analyzed the mortality impacts 
of hot weather, cold weather, 
and temperature variability
in Australia, from 2000-2009.



SUMMARY:
The U.S. EPA claim 
that CO2 is a dangerous 
threat to human health 
is not true for Australia. 

And many other studies, 
conducted for locations 
all across the globe,
have also falsified 
the hypothesis 
for the entire planet.

Attributable deaths 
due to cold weather 
are six times the 
percentage of those 
due to warm weather !

708,751 deaths studied
  42,414 deaths due to weather 
                 61.4% cold weather
                 28% temperature variability
                 10.6% hot weather     
            
The authors said: 
"most of the attributable deaths 
were from cold (61.4%), and then 
from temperature variability (28%) 
and heat (10.6%)," 
although there were noted 
differences between cities. 

There was no trend 
in mortality related to 
atmospheric CO2 
concentrations 
rising by 5% 
over the period.

Human mortality from 
cold weather events 
is far more deadly 
than from hot weather. 

So any warming 
of the planet 
in the future
should have 
a net positive 
impact on
human mortality. 



DETAILS:
The six researchers 
used all-cause death 
and weather data for 
the five most populous 
Australian cities 
( Sydney, Melbourne, 
Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth ) 
for the period from
2000 through 2009.

Those cities account for 
over 60% of the total 
Australian population.

Statistical analyses 
allowed scientists 
to calculate the 
percentage of deaths 
caused by cold, heat and
temperature variability.

Figure 1, below:
Attributable percentage 
of deaths due to cold, 
due to heat, and due to 
temperature variability (TV),
for five Australian cities, 
and a weighted average
of the five cities.