The posts here
are mainly summaries
are mainly summaries
of interesting articles
I've read.
I've read.
To the reader who asked
"What do you really think,
in your own words?",
I decided to respond yesterday.
Novem,ber 13, 2019
Richard Greene
Bingham Farms , Michigan
Temperature: Damn cold !
The climate change conspiracy started in the U.S., in 1957, led by oceanographer Roger Revelle, and a small group of scientists.
There had been rising CO2 and global COOLING from 1940 to 1957, so it was impossible to sell the danger of CO2-caused global warming at that time, so there were no scary forecasts
Global warming finally started in 1975.
Warming and extra CO2 in the atmosphere turned out to be good news for people and animals living on our planet, and for green plants too.
There was no acceleration of sea level rise, which had been in progress for almost 20,000 years.
That's still true today, based on tide gauges with long records.
For example:
The climate conspiracy is to predict a coming climate change "crisis", when no human has the ability to predict the future climate.
The climate conspiracy is to ignore PAST mild, harmless, intermittent global warming, in progress since the late 1600s, and claim FUTURE global warming will be completely different -- a disaster.
A coming global warming crisis was promoted by Maurice Strong, a Canadian working at the UN, in the 1970s.
He saw it as a great opportunity for the UN to be the world government in charge of "fighting" climate change.
The conspiracy took off after the mid-1970s, when a small minority of U.S. scientists observed global cooling from 1940 to 1975, in spite of rising CO2 levels since 1940, which were supposed to cause global warming.
They decided the falling global average temperature (measurements were actually not global) meant our roughly 10,000 year-old Holocene interglacial warm period was ending, and roughly 90,000 cold years would follow.
They were somewhat right -- that change is expected to happen someday -- starting next year, or maybe in 1,000 years -- no one knows when the current interglacial will end.
A period of global warming started in 1975, and the scary global cooling predictions were soon forgotten.
Those few "global cooling scientists" got so much attention, that other scientists began seeking attention and study grants with scary climate forecasts.
Since a very large majority of scientists expected global warming in the future, the scary forecasts were for global warming that would be a long term problem.
Which morphed to global warming that will be dangerous.
Which morphed to global warming that is an "existential threat" in 12 years, unless radical actions are taken immediately.
Meanwhile, the U.S. (48 states) is having one of its coldest years in history.
( per NOAA's USCHN maximum daily temperatures )
In fact, USCHN data says the U.S. (48 states) has not had any global warming since 2005.
It's Wednesday November 13, 2019, and southeastern Michigan, where I live, has not reached 40 degrees F. in many days.
Today's forecast says we may not reach 40 degrees F. for the rest of November.
Where is all that global warming allegedly warming the planet since 1975 ?
The sad fact is someone with an advanced science degree gets attention, and study grants, after predicting (imagined) danger.
But to keep getting attention, they need to ramp up the prediction.
So the next time, they say the danger is "even worse than previously thought".
And after that they say the danger is "even worse, than even worse, than previously thought".
It's sad that people are so gullible, leftists especially, by the appeal to authority --
"He has a science PhD, and is published in peer reviewed science journals, so he MUST be right about the future climate".
Never mind 30 prior years of wrong climate predictions -- this time they are right !
Modern climate science has no checks and balances.
False claims are made to demonize CO2.
If the false claim is made by someone with an advanced science degree, leftists believe it.
Never mind that no human has ever demonstrated the ability to predict the future climate of our planet.
Not even one year in the future.
Leftists are so gullible, they even believe a high school dropout with a mental illness.
I'm not making this up !
A mentally ill 16 year-old Swedish high school dropout, Greta Thunberg, was allowed to make a very angry speech to the UN, demonizing adults for not treating climate change as if the world will soon come to an end.
In one year and a half, teenager Ms. Greta "Thunderberg" confidently and frequently said the world is going to end in 12 years, in almost every interview and speech, since her media blitz began.
Listening to "Thunderberg's" attack on adults, is like listening to a speech by an angry village idiot.
The alleged coming climate crisis has been predicted since the 1970's.
It's aways "coming", but never arrives.
We do get very loud, stated with high confidence, but always wrong, climate predictions.
On average, excluding a seemingly accurate Russian climate model, they have predicted triple the warming that actually happened.
We now know next year's predictions
are going to claim CO2 is even more dangerous than previously thought.
The predicted rate of future global warming is going to be arbitrarily increased.
I suppose predicting triple the warming that actually happened, was not scary enough !
Anyone who confuses climate change scaremongering with real climate science, is a gullible fool.
There's a political purpose for climate alarmism: The urge to save humanity from harmless carbon dioxide is a 'progressive' false front for their urge to rule.
Democrats / Socialists claim they must be in power to fight climate change.
Because Republicans don't care about the planet.
This is a conspiracy, led by leftists, who claim only they can save the planet ... which does not need saving !
So vote for them, and their Green New Deal socialism, or the children will suffer !
Their climate fairy tales are self serving BS -- Government climate "science" (climate scaremongering) is not even close to real science.
In real science, inaccurate predictions would falsify the theory used to build the climate models.
But not in government climate "science".
The imaginary CO2-temperature theory that supports the always wrong climate models in 2019, has not changed since it was featured in the 1979 Charney Report, 40 years ago.
CO2 scaremongering
rewards people with
attention and money.
Without personal risk.
Because there's no skepticism by 95% of the mainstream media.
Leftists can predict any coming climate crisis, without risk of skepticism -- and in the future no one in the mass media will ever mention that the prediction was completely wrong.
People who program computer climate models evaluate themselves.
When the models are backtested, they predict very little of the warming that happened from 1910 to 1940, and they predict global warming from 1940 to 1975, when there was actually global cooling.
No one in the media cares.
Even the modelers don't care.
Because they know historical temperature data are repeatedly "adjusted" by fellow "scientists", to better match their climate model predictions.
No criticism of wrong climate predictions is ever published by 95% of the mass media.
Scientists with different views are not hired by governments and universities, blocked from publishing in important science journals, ridiculed, character attacked, and sometimes they lose their jobs for "non-consensus" beliefs.
Peer review has become "pal review", rejecting non-consensus views.
Then the non-consensus views are dismissed as worthless, simply because they were not published in a peer reviewed journal ( blocked by "consensus" scientists' peer reviews ! ).
Government climate "science" consists of wild guess, always wrong, predictions of a coming crisis.
Along with falsely blaming all unusual weather events on "climate change".
Even unusually cold weather!
The claims are made with undeserved high confidence, using the Appeal to Authority fallacy.
There's no skepticism among
the "consensus scientists"
( a consensus that's far less than 97% )
the "consensus scientists"
( a consensus that's far less than 97% )
Yet skepticism is the primary attribute of a good scientist.
There are repeated claims that "the science is settled".
But real science is NEVER settled.
Unusual weather events are claimed to be increasing, when government and university data show they are declining.
When NOAA's (part of the U.S. Commerce Department) Historical Climate Network (USHCN) data for 2019 reflected the coldest U.S. January through August, for the 48 contiguous states, since records were kept in 1895, this news, which was contrary to global warming predictions, was not publicized at all.
Historical temperature data are repeatedly adjusted, for no good reason, almost always creating more global warming out of thin air.
Usually by "cooling" past temperatures.
Climate alarmists completely ignore the pleasant, mild, harmless, intermittent global warming in the PAST 325 years.
Including over 100 years of adding CO2 to the atmosphere from burning fossil fuels.
The climate change conspiracy requires a 100% focus on an imaginary FUTURE climate, where the rate of global warming is imagined to be triple the warming rate per decade that we had from 1979 through 2018 (UAH satellite temperature data).
Quadruple the warming rate per decade from 1940 through 2018.
It was +0.5 degree C. ( +0.9 degrees F. ) warmer at the end of 2018 than in 1940.
(NASA-GISS surface data from 1940 to 1979, and UAH satellite data from 1979 through 2018 ).
So what ?
That's not an unusual change for 78 years.
Did the average warming of +0.12 degrees F. per decade over the 78 years change your life?
Would another +0.9 degrees F. of warming in the next 78 years change anyone's life ?
I doubt if people would even notice +0.12 degrees F. average warming per decade in the next 78 years.
I imagine the climate alarmists will keep predicting a "coming" climate crisis for another 45 years, if people are gullible enough to keep listening.
But I have no idea why any sane person would keep listening to scary computer game climate predictions, that have been consistently wrong for the past 45 years!
CONCLUSION:
The average temperature MIGHT rise (or fall) 0.2 degrees F. in the next ten years.
But that warming would be mainly at night, mainly during the coldest six months of the year, mainly at higher (cold) latitudes, ASSUMING past "global warming" patterns continued.
Those climate change DETAILS are completely hidden by use of a single global average temperature -- that's why only one number is reported by the media.
Michigan might be +0.2 to +0.4 degrees F. warmer in ten years.
Maybe a 95.0 degree F. summer day in 2019, would be a 95.2 to 95.4 degree F. summer day in 2029.
That would be an
existential climate crisis !
existential climate crisis !
95.0 degrees F. is okay.
But we'd have to leave Michigan, and move to Alaska, to avoid that unbearable 95.2 or 95.4 degree F. heat !