The UN's
IPCC authors
are “politically
handpicked”
Behind closed doors.
No critics
or skeptics
or skeptics
are allowed.
No non-consensus
scientists are allowed.
The 6th IPCC report
( Assessment Report 6, AR6 )
is being prepared.
The main topic
of IPCC reports
is CO2 climate
sensitivity.
The wild guessed
effect of CO2
on global warming.
The current wild guess
has been about the same
since the IPCC
was formed in 1988.
It's +1.5°C to 4.5°C
global warming
from each 100% rise
of atmospheric CO2,
( aka "CO2 doubling" )
a wild guess from
the 1970's, publicized
in the 1979 Charney
Report.
Actual global warming,
even assuming a worst
case that CO2 caused
all the warming since 1950,
( IPCC guesses "over half" )
suggests a
worst case
CO2 sensitivity
of +1.0 degrees C,
which is BELOW
the low range
of the
30+ year old
IPCC guess
of +1.5 to 4.5
degrees C.
The obvious reaction
to the climate model
complete failure to
match temperature
measurements,
would be to significantly
lower the IPCC's CO2
sensitivity.
But nothing is
ever obvious
in government
climate "science".
For almost 40 years,
climate models had
been predicting double
to quadruple the warming
that actually happened,
depending on which start
date, and which
global average
temperature
compilation
you choose.
After "adjustments"
this year, we now know
the climate models are
running even hotter
than before !
I'm talking about the
global climate models
expected to be used
for the IPCCs next
major assessment of
global warming, AR6,
due in 2021.
At least eight of the
"next-generation
climate models,"
from the United States,
the United Kingdom,
Canada, and France,
claim “equilibrium
climate sensitivity”
to be +5°C warming
per CO2 doubling,
or more !
The climate modelers
are out of control,
spewing climate
propaganda,
not real science.
Of course I'm sure
you know that
computers "predict"
whatever programmers
tell them to predict.
The models are just
a very complex form
of a personal opinion.
That personal opinion
is verified only if
the resulting model
consistently makes
good predictions.
That only happens
with one of dozens
of models -- a Russian
model that appears
to use a CO2 climate
sensitivity at, or below,
1.5 degrees C.
The so called
climate models
are not real models
of the climate change
process on our
planet -- they are
just computer games
that predict whatever
their programmers
want predicted,
and for some reason
they prefer scary
predictions over
accurate predictions.
Not enough is known
about climate change
science to construct
a real climate model.
Without such knowledge,
a "model" that seems
to make good predictions,
such as the Russian model,
is just making a lucky guess.