COP-25 - Full Report = The First Civil War Within the Climate Change Movement is BIG NEWS

Changing Minds,

from Climate Junk 

Science, to Real 

Climate Science:

In the past month 

I've written that data, 

facts and logic will

NOT change minds

of coming climate 

crisis believers ...

because data, facts 

and logic never 

created their beliefs

in the first place.

What will change 

other minds is if 

believers get too

radical 

-- making many

very expensive, and

infeasible demands, 

that most taxpayers 

will reject.

Such as a $2 per gallon 

gasoline tax to subsidize

windmills and solar power.

( My theoretical example

 -- not proposed by anyone else ... yet ! )

2018 marked the start

of much more radical 

climate change beliefs 

among some of the

climate change cult

members, such as the

complete computer game

nonsense of the 

"Extinction Rebellion". 

The Green New Deal,

for another example, 

is really a new version

of the Communist 

Manifesto, with most

proposed spending,

of the $93 trillion cost 

estimate for 10 years, 

for various marxist social 

programs, that are

completely unrelated

to CO2 emissions.

I believe it is 

great news that 

2020 Democrat 

candidates for 

U.S. president

seem to support

the Green New Deal, 

oppose 'fracking',

and support open 

U.S. borders.

Those radical positions

guarantee bad results

on Election Day 2020.

We can't change leftist

minds with debate, 

but we can encourage

them to become more

radical, and more 

hysterical -- behavior

that scares most people !

So if a climate cult member

ever tells you the world 

is going to end in 12 years,

you tell them scientists 

now say six years !

Of course you made 

that factoid up ... 

and you would be 

deceiving someone,

but their unjustified

attack on fossil fuels

is an attack on your
economic growth 
and prosperity.

And never forget their 

"coming" climate crisis

is also made up !

COP-25 was the 

recent 25th annual 

Conference 
Of 

Parties, 
of the 

UN Framework 

Convention on 

Climate Change 

     ( UNFCCC ).

I ignored COP-25 

for a while because 

it seemed that

nothing important

ever happened 

at any COP 

conference !

I now realize

something very

important, and 

unprecedented, 

happened at 

COP-25.

THE  BIG  PICTURE:

The 2015
Paris Agreement

was based on a

science-denying, 

climate alarmist fear 

of a coming climate 

change crisis 

-- allegedly "coming" 

for over 60 years, 

yet still invisible !

Meanwhile:

Life expectancy doubled 

in the developed world 

as it warmed by roughly

+1 degree C., since 1880.

Per capita wealth
in the United States

increased by
over eleven fold. 

Climate alarmists

seem to believe 

that warming
a half-degree more

will reverse all

that progress ?

The goal of the 

Paris Agreement 

was to hold 

global warming, 

since the 

Industrial 

Revolution, 

to under +2.0⁰C., 

with a further 

aspiration to keep 

it under +1.5⁰C. 

If that was really
important (it's not)

I can only wonder 

why the Agreement 

was voluntary, and 

had no enforcement 

mechanism.

For COP-25, 

in early 
December 2019,
over 25,000 
delegates 
arrived 
in Madrid
-- many coming 
by private jet.

COP-25 was
hyped as the

“action COP”.

It was actually 

a no action COP,

concerning

CO2 emissions.

But there was

'other action".

The Paris Agreement 

was attacked by

irrational, hysterical 

   " Action Now ! " 

climate extremists.

We had
the first ever

climate change

civil war !

Not the usual "war", 

          between

climate crisis skeptics, 

              and 

climate crisis believers.

A new "war",

     between 

climate change

    moderates,

        and 

climate change

      radicals.

Climate radicals 

want real action 

now -- not "talk".

Meanwhile, 
there are plans
for more talk -- 

talks will resume 

at the June 2020

Bonn, Germany 

inter-sessional 

meeting, and 

at COP-26 in 

November 2020.

COP-25  SUMMARY:

The annual "climate

"change festival" 

began in September, 

with the UN Climate 

Week in Manhattan.

It ended with the 

25th Conference 

of Parties ( COP-25 ) 

of the UN Framework 

Convention on Climate 

Change ( UNFCCC ). 

Most media coverage 

of COP-25 focused on 

the lack of progress, 

both on specific technical 

issues, and failing to move 

towards more ambitious 

CO2 emissions reductions.

The Financial Times 

     said the talks 

“ended in stalemate

… as countries squabbled 

over rules for a new global 

carbon trading market”. 

International coverage 

variously described 

the COP-25 outcome 

as a: 

  “compromise”, 

and  a 

  “slim deal” 

and also

  “one of the worst (COPs)
… in a quarter-century 
of climate negotiations”.

COP  BACKGROUND:

All COP's feature 

a fantasy future 

climate created

by computer game 

"climate models", 

that grossly over

predict warming.

The UNFCCC, 

and its subordinate 

organization, the UN 

Intergovernmental 

Panel on Climate 

Change ( IPCC ), 

grossly exaggerate 

the warming effects 

of increasing carbon 

dioxide levels in the 

atmosphere.

They ignore the 
past 325 years, 

of intermittent
'global warming

since the 1690's,

which was 

100% good news.

Since 1988, 

the UN has 

arbitrarily 

proclaimed 

that man, 

not nature, 

is causing 

climate 

change.

UN Secretary-General 

António Guterres started 

the Madrid COP 

by declaring: 

“For many decades 

the human species 

has been at war 

with the planet 

... And the planet 

is fighting back.” 

Nature "fights back" 

by not obeying 

computer game 

climate predictions,

-- aka "climate models" -- 

because actual 

global warming 

is only one quarter 

to one half of 

what is predicted

by the models !

Actual warming

mainly affects

higher latitudes, 

where people 

like warming, 

mainly during 

the coldest 

six months 

of the year, 

and mainly 

at night.

The locations
and timing of, 
the majority of

actual warming 

have been 
deliberately 

hidden by 
the use of 

a single 
global average 

temperature 
statistic --

a temperature 
statistic that no one 

actually lives in.

CLIMATE  RADICALS 

               vs. 

CLIMATE  MODERATES

“ Action Now ! ” 

climate change 

radicals are 

attacking the 

slow moving, 

consensus-

based Paris 

Agreement. 

The radicals 

are at war with 

establishment 

climate change

moderates. 

These annual 

COP summits 

are normally 

exercises in 

compromise 

among the 

almost 200 

nations 

represented. 

Not this time.

In Madrid, Action Now! 

radicals took hard line 

positions, so COP-25 

had to stall out, and 

delegates failed to act 

on any significant issue. 

No compromise 

was possible.

Radical action 

is not part of 

the Paris 

Agreement

process.

Moderates 

in Madrid 

pointed out 

that most 

countries, 

including major 

CO2 emitters, 

do not have to file 

new CO2 emission 

reduction plans 

until 2030. 

Extremists are furious 

that China and India, 

the first and fourth 

biggest CO2 emitters, 

have plans that allow 

unlimited CO2 emission 

increases until 2030.

And for the number two

CO2 emitter, America, 

our membership in

the Paris Accord 

officially ends 

the day before
the 2020 Glasgow

COP-26 begins
in November 2020 !

"Loss and Damage" 

means developed 

countries should 

compensate
developing countries 
for damages caused

by things like 

bad weather and 

rising seas.

Developing countries 

consistently cite losses 

caused by hurricanes, 

droughts, floods, etc., 

falsely blaming them 

on human caused 

climate change.

There is a draft report 

that calls for more study, 

and more cooperation,
but actual loss and damage
compensation is not yet

called for. 

Loss and Damage 

is going nowhere fast, 

but is still moving forward. 

COP-25 aimed to finalize 

the “rulebook” of the 

Paris Agreement

– by settling on rules 

for carbon markets 

and other forms 

of international 

cooperation 

under “Article 6” 

of that deal.

COP-25 was disrupted 

by a huge protest march 

through the heart of the 

Spanish capital.

Climate activist 

Greta Thunberg 

arrived just in time 

to make several 

high-profile 

appearances.

The talks were unable 

to reach consensus 

in many areas, 

pushing decisions 

into next year, 

under “Rule 16” 

of the UN climate 

process. 

UN secretary general 

António Guterres 

said he was 

“disappointed” 

with the results

of COP-25, and that 

“the international community 

lost an important opportunity 

to show increased ambition 

on mitigation, adaptation 

& finance to tackle 

the climate crisis.”

COP25 was characterized 

by long debates, and all-night 

sessions, where negotiators 

and ministers discussed 

jargon-filled texts.

Talks quickly

bogged down 

on technical issues, 

such as the rules 

for carbon market 

mechanisms, 

which have eluded 

completion for years.

Greta Thunberg 

joined a march 

through central Madrid 

that organizers claimed

drew 500,000 people

( but local police claimed 

there were 15,000  people ).

Thunberg's 

final speech 

told people 

in the main 

hall that 

the COP 

“seems 

to have 

turned into 

some kind 

of opportunity 

for countries 

to negotiate 

loopholes”. 

Shortly after, 

Ms. "thundering" 

Thunberg 

was announced 

as Time Magazine’s 

“Person of the Year”.

Later that day, 

200 climate radicals,

and indigenous rights 

activists, were ejected 

from the main venue, 

following a protest.

The UN Environment 

Programme’s (UNEP)

Emissions Gap Report, 

released just prior

to COP-25, showed 

the +1.5 degrees C. 

warming limit goal 

of the Paris Agreement 

is “slipping out of reach”. 

Under the 2015

Paris Agreement, 

all parties committed 

to submitting nationally 

determined contributions 

(NDCs) for cutting CO2

emissions, and also to 

“update” their pledges 

by the end of 2020.

NDC was never clearly 

defined, or agreed on -- 

NDC seems like a set 

of government policies 

and programs, rather 

than specific targets for

cutting CO2 emissions.

Current NDCs 

are nowhere near 

enough to limit 

global warming 

to +1.5C.

According to the 

World Resources 

Institute NDC tracker, 

just 80 countries 

– primarily small 

developing nations --

have stated their 

intention to enhance 

their NDCs by 2020, 

representing just 

10.5% of global 

CO2 emissions. 

All the biggest emitters 

are absent from the list.

Potential good news

for Climate Alarmists:

-- On December 12 and 13, 

the European Commission 

revealed a “European 

Green Deal”.

If it ever 

becomes law, 

which is 

unlikely

right now,

it will commit 

at least 25% 

of the EU’s 

long-term 

budget to 

climate action !

The deal would boost 

the EU’s NDC target 

for 2030, from its 

current aim of 

cutting emissions 

to at least 40% 

below 1990 levels, 

to a higher target 

of “at least 50%, 

and towards 55%”.

Another moment 

of optimism came 

when the Danish 

parliament adopted 

a new climate law, 

setting a legally 

binding target 

to cut emissions 

to 70% below 

1990 levels 

by 2030.

Good luck 

with that !