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Monday, December 30, 2019

US And Russia Developing Plans For Incoming Asteroids ... or is this really something else ?

Here in 
southeastern 
Michigan, 
the last 
two weeks 
of December 2018 
were the start 
of the consistently 
coldest three 
consecutive week 
period since 
I moved here 
from New York
in 1977. 

This year, in 2019, 
the last two weeks 
of December 
have been 
unusually warm. 

Comparing 
unusually cold, 
to unusually warm, 
who in 
their right mind 
would prefer 
unusually cold ?  

Why is anyone frightened 
by the slight global warming
 ... that has been in progress, 
intermittently, since the 1690s ?

I guess some people 
have a need to be 
fearful of the future.

So how about something 
that could do real damage ?


Our solar system 
is full of dangerous 
giant space rocks.

You could be hit by 
a giant space rock 
at any time.

That's a real danger !

For protection, 
I plan to wear 
a bicycle helmet, 
lined with 
aluminum foil,  
at all times, 
and I will
look up 
at the sky 
frequently !
( heh heh )


The following story 
is interesting, 
but seems strange.

My first thought:
Taxpayers' money 
being wasted.

My second thought:
Is this really about 
deflecting asteroids, 
or is that just a cover 
story for the creation 
of a new military 
"space force" ?



The White House Office 
of Science and Technology 
Policy released an 
18-page report in 2018 
titled “National Near-Earth 
Object Preparedness 
Strategy and Action Plan”.

The report outlines steps 
NASA and the Federal 
Emergency Management 
Agency (FEMA) will take 
over the next 10 years 
to prevent dangerous 
asteroids from 
striking Earth, 
and prepare 
the country for 
the consequences
of such an event, 
if prevention fails.

But NASA has not 
even identified 
most of the giant 
space rocks 
that are floating 
around out there. 

In July, a 427-foot-wide 
asteroid whizzed within 
45,000 miles of Earth, 
traveling at 55,000mph
 -- measuring 426 feet 
by 187ft (130m x 57m), 

45,000 miles 
is less than 
20% of the distance 
between Earth 
and the moon,
considered 
to be very close, 
if you were 
an astronomer! 

According to 
leaked emails, 
NASA officials 
only knew about it 
about 24 hours 
before it 
whizzed by !

If had it hit, 
it could have 
devastated a city 
the size of London 
with over 30 times 
the energy of the 
Hiroshima atomic 
blast.



2007 FT3 is 
another asteroid. 

It 
“might hit the planet 
on Oct. 2, 2024”

According to NASA, 
it would hit at a speed 
of approximately 
46,000 miles per hour, 
and “create a crater 
that’s several miles long"

The estimated diameter 
is about 1,115 feet, 
almost as tall as the 
Empire State Building. 



And how about Apophis, 
on April 13, 2029 ?
  from Wikipedia:
"The closest known 
approach of Apophis 
comes on 
April 13, 2029, 
when the asteroid 
comes to within 
a distance of around 
31,000 kilometres 
from Earth’s surface. 

The distance, 
a hair’s breadth 
in astronomical terms, 
is ten times closer 
than the moon, 
and even 
closer than 
some man
made satellites. 

It will 
be the 
closest 
asteroid 
of its size 
in recorded 
history. 

On that date, it will become 
as bright as magnitude 3.1 
(visible to the naked eye 
from rural as well as darker 
suburban areas, visible 
with binoculars
 from most locations).

The close approach 
will be visible from Europe, 
Africa, and western Asia."



Russian scientists 
announced they 
have developed 
intercontinental 
ballistic missiles 
to destroy 
asteroid 
Apophis !

Also referred to as 
"99942 Apophis, 
it measures 
210-330 meters 
(690-1080 feet) 
in diameter. 

According to 
a Slate article 
by astronomer 
Phil Plait, 
“it would release 
the energy 
equivalent 
to more than 
1 billion tons 
of TNT exploding, 
at least 20 times more 
than the largest nuke 
ever detonated!”

Russian scientists warned 
that Apophis could have 
“hundreds of opportunities 
to hit the Earth over the 
course of the next century”.



The Russians have
suddenly decided 
to create
an organization 
to detect, track 
and potentially destroy 
incoming asteroids, 
meteors and comets.

“As part of the creation 
of a monitoring system 
and information support 
for the safety 
of space activities 
in near-Earth space, 
we plan to launch 
the Russian Center for 
Small Celestial Bodies, 
whose main task 
will be to detect and 
track celestial bodies
approaching Earth,” 
said Igor Bakaras,
a senior official at 
Roscosmos subsidiary 
TsNIIMash, to the 
Russian-owned 
news agency Sputnik.

Roscosmos, 
the Russian 
equivalent of NASA, 
wants to figure out 
if it’s possible 
to destroy 
celestial objects, 
or deflect them
to new trajectories, 
away from Earth.

This could involve 
slamming a 
‘kinetic impactor’ 
craft in the rock, 
or using a satellite 
to drag it onto 
a new course. 

Nukes could be 
sent into space 
to blow up, or 
deflect, the rocks.

A new department 
at Roscosmos is called 
the "Russian Centre 
for Celestial Bodies".

This sudden move 
by the Russians comes 
just one year 
after the U.S. issued 
their “National 
Near-Earth Object 
Preparedness Strategy 
and Action Plan".



With President Trump 
recently signing a huge 
military spending bill, 
that includes a new 
"Space Force",  
I can only wonder 
if deflecting asteroids, 
traveling at 40,000 
to 60,000 miles per hour, 
is really the primary goal,
or even a sensible goal ? 

Isn't there a 70% chance 
any asteroid would land 
in an ocean, which are 70%
of our planet's surface ?

Couldn't a deflection 
make things worse ?

As a libertarian, 
I never trust 
governments.

Do you ?