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Monday, January 27, 2020

Another false claim- “Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019“

There’s a new paper.
with 14 "authors" !

It claims:
“These data reveal 
that the world’s oceans 
(especially at 
upper 2000 meters) 
in 2019 were the warmest 
in recorded human history.” 

Is that true?

No.

And what does 
"recorded human 
history" mean?

Did they mean:
“The warmest since humans 
began reliably measuring 
deep ocean temperatures" ?

If so, 
the truth is 
that humans
have NOT 
yet begun 
reliably measuring 
ocean temperatures !

We have no global data
for below the ocean's 
surface temperatures 
before Argo floats.

Even now, 
each float represents 
50,000 square miles 
of ocean.

The average depth 
of the oceans 
is 3,700 meters. 

Argo floats measure 
down to 2,000 meters. 

So the study considers
only down to 2,000 meters,
as if the other 40% to 50% 
of the oceans, below 
the top 2,000 meters, 
do not matter !

The have no data 
to support 
their conclusion. 

They are making it up.



Cheng et al. cite 
four IPCC reports,
and merely assume 
man-made climate 
change is fact, 
rather than 
a mere belief.

The data in Cheng et al. 
go back to just 1955 --
64 years of data. 

Earth is 
70 million  
times older 
than 64 years
( 4.5 billion years old ). 

When it is expressed 
in terms of temperature, 
the oceans down to 2,000m 
have warmed by a little more 
than +0.1C in half a century.
with a ridiculous claimed
margin of error of 
+/- 0.003 degrees C


ARGO buoys, 
only operational 
since 2005, 
cover less than 
one third 
of the oceans. 

The Argo bouys float.

They are not tethered.

They can move to warmer 
or cooler waters, with the 
ocean currents.

The +0.1 degree C. 
warming is meaningless 
(false precision).


Prior to that = wild guesses.



As the map below shows,
  There is huge variation 
in sea surface temperature 
anomalies across the world, 
with a range of about 
6 degrees C.












We are told temperature
anomalies at depth 
will be much less volatile.



DETAILS:
Estimates of Ocean 
Heat Content 
        (OHC) 
require subtracting 
one huge number 
from another 
huge number.

Errors in the estimates 
of the numbers may be 
far greater than the 
difference between 
the numbers. 

For OHC, 
the estimates 
are in units of 
Zettajoules (ZJ).

ZJ is one sextillion, 
or ten raised to 
the 21st power, 
 ... or one power of 10 
less than the solar energy 
hitting the earth’s surface 
each day.

The Cheng et al. paper 
replaces no [existing] 
temperature [record] 
with synthetic "data' 
for the world’s oceans 
( at least for parts of them ).

Then comes to the conclusion 
that deep ocean temperature 
increased by less than 
+0.1 degrees C in 60 years.









The Cheng et al. 2020 article
is only 6 pages long
and is located here:




P.S.:
Concerning the 14 "authors".

There is a “publish or perish” 
unwritten rule in today’s 
so-called institutions 
of higher learning. 

These institutions 
falsely base 
the quality 
of the faculty 
     on the 
number of papers 
they publish 
     and 
the amount 
of grant money 
they bring in 
to the institution. 

The more papers 
you have 
your name on, 
the more
“worthy” 
of grants. 

The more grants 
you can get, 
the more papers 
you can get 
your name on 
... while the 
bloated college 
administration 
staffers give 
themselves 
pay raises.