Total Pageviews

Monday, February 10, 2020

2019 was the hottest year ever ... except that it was not

If you measure 
from the depths 
of the natural 
Little Ice Age, 
in the 1690s, 
the global 
average 
temperature 
is warmer, 
probably by 
at least 
+2 degrees C.

With a longer 
perspective,
our era's climate
is not remarkable. 

Remember 
that global 
surface average
temperatures
were first compiled 
DURING a long term
global warming trend. 



And that means
"new records" 
are expected 
to happen 
regularly, 
until the warming 
trend ends, and a 
cooking trend begins.

The most credible 
surface temperature 
numbers are from 
the United States.

For the U.S., 
2019 was cooler 
than 2005, 2006, 
2007, 2010, 2011, 
2012, 2015, 2016,
2017 and 2018. 

The American 
temperature 
records show 
the number of 
really hot days 
were declining 
over the 
past century.


GLOBAL  AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE
       NASA’s 
Goddard Institute 
for Space Studies
           ( GISS ) 
clings to the coolest 
available period 
          ( 1951-80 ) 
for their baseline.

The National 
Oceanographic 
and Atmospheric 
Administration, 
       ( NOAA ) 
equally alarmist 
in its views, 
uses 1981-2000.

NOAA and 
NASA GISS 
are claiming 
their data says
the world in 2019 
was the second 
warmest ever, and the 
decade of 2010-2019 
was the hottest ever 
( by a few hundredths 
of a degree C. ).

First of all, 
"ever" 
really means 
after Word War II --
there were 
no global data 
before that, 
forcing a lot of
guessing of the 
temperatures
for areas with 
insufficient
thermometer
coverage. 

I have argued here 
that the CURRENT 
surface temperatures 
still do not have
sufficient global
coverage.

When 
measuring 
temperatures 
outside of 
a laboratory, 
there's no way 
to be accurate 
to the nearest 
tenth of 
a degree C., 
much less 
a few 
hundredths 
of a degree C.

Including 
error bars
on charts
would show
temperature 
changes in a 
different light. 

Error bars would 
stop the scientific 
fraud of claiming 
one year’s rank 
by an amount 
smaller than 
the size of the 
measurement 
margin of error. 

Spurious 
accuracy
( sometimes called  
"false precision" )
is quoting the
global average 
temperature
in hundredths 
of a degree C., 
in spite of a 
conservative 
a margin of error 
of at least 
+/- 0.5 degrees C.

That's science fraud.