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Wednesday, March 25, 2020

The 2038 coal exit will cost the German government (taxpayers) 80 billion euros, will have almost no effect on global CO2 reductions

SUMMARY:
The planned German 
2038 coal exit will: 

(1)
cost the German taxpayers
about 80 billion euros, 

(2) 
have little or no effect 
on CO2 reductions, 

(3) 
have no measurable 
impact on climate, 

(4)
lead to higher 
electricity costs, 

(5)
result in a 
more unstable 
electric grid, 

(6) 
make Germany 
more dependent 
on foreign energy, and 

(7)
encourage companies 
to move manufacturing 
to other nations, with 
more stable and cheaper 
electricity.



DETAILS:
The German government 
recently decided to exit 
from coal generated 
electricity by 2038.

The German government’s 
aim of a coal phaseout 
is protecting the climate. 

In reality, it will have 
little or no impact at all.

German online FOCUS
magazine reports: 
“80 billion euros 
are to be given to 
the affected regions 
and companies 
in the coming years 
as aid and 
compensation.”

The target date 
for completing 
the coal exit 
risks 
seeing Germany 
emitting another 
140 million tonnes 
of extra CO2 
between 
2020 and 2040, 
by exiting coal
so slowly, 
according to the 
German Institute 
for Economic 
Research (DIW).

But 140 million tonnes 
is tiny, compared 
with 33 billion 
tonnes of CO2 
emitted globally 
each year.

Over the next 20 years, 
global CO2 emissions 
could total 
700 billion tonnes, 
( 5,000 times 
greater than the 
140 million tonnes,
that could be 
eliminated by 
speeding up 
the coal phaseout.)



Assuming German 
manufacturers move 
to other nations: 
“The coal exit changes 
the CO2 emissions 
of the European Union 
by 0,”  FOCUS quotes 
economics professor 
Christian Bayer of the 
University of Bonn 
at Twitter: 

“A German coal phase-out 
in itself only shifts emissions 
abroad.”