Total Pageviews

Wednesday, April 29, 2020

Future drought in central Europe is just speculation

The summer of 2017 
in Europe was a wet one.

That's just "weather" !

No one seems to 
remember that 
summer.

But 2018 and 2019 
summers were 
hot and dry.

That's "climate change".

Climate alarmists 
then claimed 
drought would be
the new normal 
for the future.



Central Europe 
this year has had 
little rain since
the end of March. 


How about considering
historical precipitation
data for three German
cities, and all of Germany,
to understand if 2018 
and 2019 summers 
were unusual ?


The charts below 
show the monthly 
precipitation data 
from three North 
German cities for 
almost 40 years:
Hamburg, 
Hannover,
Berlin.

Data source: 
Japan Meteorological 
Agency (JMA).


The northern port city 
of Hamburg has seen 
a modestly declining 
trend since 1982. 

Nothing unusual 
is happening. 

The city still gets 
plenty of rain. 



For Hannover, 
there was 
a modest decline 
in precipitation 
since 1982, 
yet there are 
no unusual 
extremes 
today. 



For Berlin, 
there’s a gap 
in the data 
in the 1990s. 

But there has been 
no trend change 
in precipitation 
but wet extremes 
have become 
more frequent.



Looking at 
total Germany 
precipitation, 
considering 
the percentage 
above or below 
normal, the 
long-term trend 
since the early 1880s 
has been slightly 
upward !

Germany remains 
rainy and wet -- 
slightly wetter 
as global man made 
CO2 emissions rose.

It's impossible
to conclude 
that Germany’s 
( Central Europe ) 
will have a future 
of drought.

Germany chart: