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Sunday, April 19, 2020

Hurricane Landfalls and Climate Change

Climate alarmists claim 
global warming is warming
the oceans, and that causes
more, and stronger,
hurricanes.

For all worldwide hurricane 
landfalls since 1970, there 
are no obvious trends.

But, If you sort the data
into weaker hurricanes
    ( category 1-2 )
and stronger hurricanes
    ( category 3-5 ), 
there's a weakly 
declining rate 
of Cat 1-2 events, 
and an increasing rate 
of Cat 3-4-5 events. 

Cat 1-2 landfalling events 
dropped from around 
11.5 a year in 1970 to 
around 9.5 a year in 2020. 

The Cat 3-5 
landfalling events 
increased from 
about 3 a year, 
to about 7 a year,
in the same period.


From 1970-1994 
to 1995-2019,
the Cat 3-5s 
have increased 
by about 50% !

32.6% 
of hurricanes
in the total 
1970-2019 
period
ended up 
as Cat 3-5. 



Many hurricanes 
are near Florida 
and Japan.
between July 
and November.

A warmer 
ocean temperature
could be the cause 
of stronger storms.

The Atlantic Multidecadal 
Oscillation moved into 
a warm phase after 1995, 
affecting Florida hurricanes,
but that could not explain 
the similar trend near Japan.



The frequency of all Cat 1-5 
hurricanes (cyclones) 
globally hasn't 
changed much

Ocean warming seems too small
to explain stronger hurricanes,
at least those near Florida 
and Japan

The frequency of the stronger
Cat 3-5 hurricanes seems to be 
increasing -- perhaps caused 
by chance (random variations).

Merely blaming 
"climate change"
without having 
supporting data,
is junk science.