The Russian plan is:
1)
Increase emissions by 30%
between now and 2030.
2)
Reduce emissions by 5%
between 2030 and 2050.
Under the 2015
Paris Agreement,
countries agreed to develop
long-term, low-emission
development strategies.
So far, a U.N. database
lists 15 such documents,
including from the European
Union, the United States,
Germany and Jap
The Intended
Nationally
Determined
Contributions
( INDCs ),
are national
plans to reduce
CO2 emissions
through 2030,
as part of the
voluntary 2015
Paris Agreement.
Russia, is the world’s
fifth-largest emitter
of greenhouse gases,
after China, the U.S.,
the EU and India.
Russia did not
officially join
the 2015
Paris Agreement
until September 2019.
They released their first
long-term, low-carbon
development plan
recently, that was
almost 70 pages long.
They pledge to cut
their CO2 emissions
by a third by 2030,
from 1990 levels.
Unfortunately,
that goal represents
higher CO2 emissions
levels than today.
Russia’s
Ministry of
Economic
Development
published the
draft strategy,
which will be reviewed
by other ministries and
business associations,
before being submitted
for government approval
by executive order.
“This strategy draft is
the first comprehensive attempt
of the federal government
to look into Russia’s economic
development trajectory
toward 2050 climate goals,”
said Mikhail Rasstrigin,
Russia’s deputy minister
of economic development.
Russia's “basic scenario"
shows emissions growing
from now until 2030,
climbing about 30%
from 2017.
The 2030 projection
represents a 33% cut
from 1990 levels,
an about 50% lower
than at the peak
of the U.S.S.R. days.
Russia’s emissions
will be curbed by
energy efficiency,
introduction of a
carbon price,
development
of renewables and
nuclear energy,
less clear-cutting
of forests and
enlarging protected
areas.
Offset by higher
economic growth
and a significant
decline in the
ability of forests
to absorb and
store carbon,
due to wildfires,
illegal logging
and the rising
age of their trees.
CO2 emissions per unit
of gross domestic product
are expected to drop
by 9% in 10 years and by
almost half by 2050
from the 2017 level.
The basic scenario
does not foresee
carbon neutrality
by 2050.