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Friday, May 22, 2020

Fine particulate matter ( PM 2.5 ) and COVID-19

Harvard’s T.H. Chan 
School of Public Health 
recently published a study 
claiming that a tiny increase 
in long-term exposure 
to fine particulate matter 
           ( PM 2.5 )
—just one microgram 
per cubic meter—
us claimed to increase
the risk of dying from 
COVID-10 by 8%. 

The study’s findings 
would be alarming,
if they were true.

Pollutants, 
including PM 2.5,
have been
linked to higher 
incidences of 
respiratory 
diseases, 
which
increase 
the risk of 
dying from 
COVID-19. 


But the study is flawed:

It uses county-wide data 
that doesn’t adjust for 
individual health 
differences. 

Nor do they 
count deaths 
after April 22, 
when COVID-19
fatalities increased.

And the COVID-19 
death rate
is just a rough 
estimate.



Carleton University’s 
Paul Villeneuve and 
McGill University’s 
Mark Goldberg said: 
"When we looked closely 
at the research, we saw 
so many shortcomings 
that we were 
not convinced 
of the results."




The Harvard stidy states:
“We found that an increase 
of only 1 μg/m3 in PM2.5 
is associated with an 
8% increase in the 
COVID-19 death rate 
[reduced from 15%] 
(95% confidence
interval [CI]: 
2%, 15%)."

Data to support 
the study do not exist.

The numbers for PM2.5
 are largely guessed, 
from a combinations 
of satellite measurements, 
Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), 
unverified transport models, 
and some ground-based 
observations.

The PM 2.5 concentration 
in the air in Wuhan, China, 
where the virus is thought 
to have started, is roughly 
10 times as high as 
it is in the U.S..

But we have no idea 
what actual Wuhan deaths 
were, because China lied 
about the numbers.



U.S. PM 2.5 levels have fallen
40% since 2000 as power plants 
and cars have become more
 efficient, and coal has been 
replaced with cleaner-burning 
natural gas. 

The Environmental 
Protection Agency
 says that 35 micrograms 
of PM 2.5 is unhealthy 
for sensitive groups.

Fewer than 10 U.S. counties 
don’t meet the EPA’s PM 2.5 
national standard. 

But leftists are still pressing 
the EPA to tighten PM 2.5 limits
 -- a back door to restricting
CO2 emissions from power plants 
( the Supreme Court blocked 
the Obama EPA from doing that 
in 2015 ).