Total Pageviews

Monday, May 18, 2020

If you believe the CO2 level controls the climate, then your climate "models" will also believe that !

CLIMATE  MODELS
Climate models are 
personal opinions on 
what causes changes
to the global average 
temperature ...

The global average 
temperature is a statistic, 
not a temperature 
that anyone lives in.

Real climate models
would make accurate
climate predictions.

Current climate 
"models" make 
wrong predictions !

That's why I call them
"computer games".


NATURAL  CAUSES 
OF  CLIMATE  CHANGE
After 4.5 billion years
of natural causes 
of climate change,
some people have 
decided that natural
causes no longer apply
to the past 75 years.

No proof of that --
it's just a belief,
and not based 
on science, 

The claim that 
carbon dioxide is the
 "climate controller"
is also a belief,
not based 
on science.

Carbon dioxide 
does acts a a 
greenhouse gas 
in a laboratory, 
using artificially 
dried air for 
measurements/

CO2's actual 
warming effect 
in the atmosphere,
which contains 
water vapor,
is a guess, not a 
measurement.



PERSONAL  OPINIONS
OF  SCIENTISTS 
DISGUISED  AS
CLIMATE  MODELS
People with advanced
science degrees want
their personal opinions 
to seem like real science.

They do that by converting
their opinions into very
complex climate models.

Their primary personal 
opinion is that manmade 
CO2, from burning 
fossil fuels, is the 
"climate controller",
and natural causes 
of climate change are 
too small to matter.  

Climate modelers 
simply assume that
humans are the cause 
of global warming.

So, when calculations
of the global average 
temperature show
global warming, 
believers 
simply assume 
that rising CO2 levels 
HAD to be the cause,
and no other potential 
cause of climate 
change matters.

They completely
ignore periods 
of global cooling, 
that happened 
while CO2 levels 
increased:
( 1940 to 1975 ).

They completely 
ignore periods 
when the global 
average temperature 
barely changed, 
while CO2 levels 
rose a lot: 
( 2003 to mid-2015 ).

They use what is called 
circular reasoning:
   Conclusions about CO2
are exactly what what
they assumed to be true 
about CO2 in the first place !



IPCC  SUMMARY  REPORT
The most popular 
climate alarmist 
report -- their bible --
is the IPCC "Summary 
for Policymakers".

The last 
United Nations 
Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate 
Change ( IPCC )
summary report 
was called AR5. 

AR5 included 11
“main drivers of 
climate change” .

The IPCC 
guesses 
how much 
each climate driver 
( called a “forcing” ) 
has affected 
Earth's climate
since 1750.

10 of the 11 
assumed climate 
drivers are from 
human causes. 

The only one
that is natural, 
is changes of
solar energy 
input ( called 
“irradiance” )  
and that variable 
is assumed 
to be so small 
it can be ignored.

About 100 major 
climate models 
are used in 
a huge effort 
coordinated
by the U.S. 
Department 
of Energy.

The models assume 
almost 100% of climate 
change is human caused. 

If you believe that 
ONLY humans 
cause climate change, 
it's easy to declare,
with great confidence,
that natural causes 
of climate change 
don't matter.

That's not real science. 

Climate models 
start out with 
an unproven 
belief about CO2, 
and their owners 
will not debate 
that belief.

They'll call you a 
"climate denier"
            or
"science denier",
if you question
their CO2 belief.


CLIMATE  JUNK  SCIENCE
Real science 
by assumption 
does not exist !

But the junk 
climate science 
we read in the 
mass media.
IS based on 
assumptions
( beliefs and 
    feelings )


The climate alarmist
belief is a coming 
climate change crisis,
that never shows up !

That imaginary 
climate crisis
has been "coming" 
since the late 1950's, 
according to some 
scientists, but it 
never shows up ! 

When predicting
the future climate, 
climate scientists 
have been consistent, 
gaining a reputation 
for being wrong 
100% of the time !

It's amazing that 
anyone is still
listening to the
climate alarmists,
about the "coming"
climate crisis they
have predicted 
year after year, 
for many dozens 
of years.


CLIMATE  SCIENTIST
FINANCIAL  SELF  INTEREST
A coming climate crisis
just happens to provide 
climate scientists with 
lifetime job security 
as government 
bureaucrat climate
scientists !

Their computers will predict
exactly what they are 
programmed to predict !

Their complex models
create the impression
that the scientists "know"
the effects of CO2
with great precision.

Their refusals to debate 
create the impression 
that skeptics, especially
those without advanced
science degrees,  are not
worthy of any debate.

They claim "the science
is settled" when no science
is ever settled !

To demonstrate their
(false) confidence
that the science is 
settled, most scientists
have not changed 
their beliefs about CO2 
since the 1979 Charney
Report.

They still claim 
the CO2 level
increasing by 100%,
will raise the global 
average temperature by 
+1.5 to +4.5 degrees C.
( + 3.0 degrees average )

That's a huge range 
for any estimate !

A worst case 
analysis of 
the ACTUAL 
global warming, 
assuming 100% 
of the past 
global warming
was caused by CO2, 
could blame CO2 for
only +1 degree C
of warming for each 
100% CO2 rise,
which is lower than 
the low range
    ( +1.5 C. )
used by the smarmy
climate alarmists.

I write "smarmy" 
because the
climate alarmists 
keep predicting 
double to triple 
the global warming
that has actually 
happened !

Even when we 
use a worst case
assumption that ALL
past global warming 
was caused by CO2.



WRONG  PREDICTIONS,
BUT  NO  ONE  CARES !
Climate modelers 
don't seem to care about 
their wrong predictions,
aided by the mass media, 
who do not even mention 
wrong past predictions !

In fact, the latest computer
climate games ( models )
have been increasing the
warming predictions,
moving even further away
from reality.

The imaginary coming 
climate change crisis 
gets boring, unless fueled
with new "worse than we 
previously thought predictions",
so that gullible climate crisis 
believers don't lose interest.

The mass media loves
"worse than we previously
thought" predictions too !