It is getting warmer
in Central Europe.
And the last two
summers were dry.
A paper by a team
of 20 authors from
meteorological
institutes in Europe
evaluated really
long-lasting
observations
between 1850
and 2018.
Results reveal
"a general absence
of statistically significant
long-term trends
in the study domain…”
The global warming is a
confirmed long-term trend,
but the allegedly increasing
drought is not.
The authors use the
“Standardized Precipitation
Index” (SPI) to measure
the the occurrence of
droughts in the European
region.
They evaluated
whole years,
and seasons too.
Alleged drought trends
“are statistically
non-significant”
Frequent very dry periods
also occurred in the 1920s,
1940s and 1970s.
There are occasional trends
at individual weather stations,
but nothing significant over
longer periods
over larger areas.
So the authors write
in the summary:
"With few exceptions,
trends in droughts
over Western Europe
are statistically
non-significant
from a long-term
perspective.”
Claims of climate-related
droughts increasing are
based only on short-term
observations using
insufficiently validated
data or areas that are
too small, says the study.
Up to now, readers
could plead ignorance
when reading and hearing
about “drought caused
by climate change”
in the media and
elsewhere.
Scientifically based facts
indicate the connection
simply does not exist.