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Sunday, July 5, 2020

The Plan for "Net Zero" CO2 Emissions is Invisible

Electrifying all cars, 
trucks, motorcycles, 
ships and airplanes ?

Electrifying heating 
for all buildings ?

Electricity only from 
nuclear, hydro, solar 
and wind power ?


Burning wood is not green
-- that releases lots of CO2.

And that doesn't change 
if the wood is called 
"biomass".

Green's have tried
to hide that fact.

Until Michael Moore 
spoke up with his
"Planet of the Humans" 
documentary.



The target of a net-zero CO2
by 2050 global economy 
 is very complex, expensive
and very unlikely to be feasible,

There is no detailed 
technology plan for 
"Net Zero".

Current technology,
especially batteries,
is not even close to
what is needed.

There are not even 
national standards, 
for just the plug,  
for recharging car 
batteries ! 

And of course
no international 
standard !


Without such a plan, 
an exceptionally complex 
project is very unlikely
to be on time, and on budget.

Perhaps the electricity grid 
and distribution systems 
could be upgraded by 2050.

But will there be enough 
raw materials to make 
batteries needed for 
all the cars and trucks
... not to mention all the
airplanes and ships ? 

Will the intermittent 
renewable forms
of energy have 
an affordable 
technology to store 
electricity for use 
at night and/or 
when the wind 
is not blowing ? 

What about 
extra seasonal 
electricity storage 
for peak usage 
seasons ?

Current battery 
manufacturing 
capabilities 
would need to be 
500 - 1,000 times 
larger to support 
an all-electric global 
transport system.



Generic proclamations, 
such as eliminating CO2 
emissions from aviation 
and international shipping 
by 2050, are just leftist 
political platitudes.

Suppose it takes 
10 years for leftists
to realize their net-zero 
2050 target is an 
unattainable goal ?

Will they admit their error, 
and stop the spending 
and the work ?

Of course not.


The materials needed 
to transition to all 
electric transport, 
just in the UK, 
is estimated 
to require
about:

200% the current annual 
global production of cobalt, 

75% of lithium carbonate, 

100% of neodymium, and

50% of copper. 

Materials needed
just for batteries 
WORLDWIDE,
are way beyond 
known reserves. 


At the end of their life 
these batteries, and 
wind and solar power 
generators, will produce
tonnes of hazardous 
waste, per unit 
of electricity 
produced.

More than all the 
decommissioned 
nuclear power plants,
assuming nuclear 
energy is not wanted.



China dominates
many of the key 
rare earth materials, 
which can rarely
be mined for a profit
elsewhere, 
especially in the
United States.

Do we trust China 
to be the "OPEC"
of rare earth
minerals ?



A robust technology 
plan is needed for a 
net-zero emissions 
global economy in 2050. 

Desperately needed.

Such as plan would have
interim targets -- perhaps
a series of five year plans.

Such a plan is not likely
to be developed, because 
it might take only a year
or two to discover 
the overall plan was 
behind schedule and
over budget !

And maybe just five years
to discover the who;e plan
was an infeasible fairy tale ?

Meanwhile, the severe
economic damage 
from the worldwide
coronavirus pandemic 
is trumping expensive 
green investments in 
Australia, Germany,
California and 
elsewhere.



There's also 
a moving target
for future global
electricity needs.

Half of the world’s 
population will need 
more energy 
per person in the 
next decade, 
and 70% to 80% 
of that energy
is likely to 
come from 
fossil fuels.



Creating detailed 
national Net Zero 
by 2050 plans now, 
would point out the 
problems that need 
solving.   

Can we trust China
and India to develop
plans and follow them ?

An international plan
would require global
cooperation on a scale
never experienced 
in history.   



Meanwhile, 
Net Zero 2050
is just a 
generic goal, 
without a plan.

Actually, 
Net Zero 2050
is a leftist pipe dream,
with the real goals of
printing lots of money, 
spending lots of money, 
raising taxes.
sharply increasing 
central government
powers, and  telling 
people how to live.

Things that leftists
always want to do !