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Saturday, December 19, 2020

UK wants to ban natural gas and oil burning furnaces -- another costly, and dumb, 'green' pipedream

MY  TWO  CENTS:
Natural gas is very effective and efficient for heating homes and offices. Using natural gas somewhere else to make electricity, and then heating your home with that electricity, is very inefficient. 
 
A
ir-source heat pumps would need supplemental electric heating in the coldest parts of the UK in winter. They will not produce usable water temperatures for domestic heating during winters.
 
In 2023, gas boilers will be banned in new UK builds, and in 2035. gas boilers will not be replaceable legally.
 
The root cause of all this is the Climate Change Act 2008.  All three UK political parties support the CCA2008 (483 voted for it, only 5 against). 
 
Overturning the CCA2008 would require overturning the UK scientific establishment first, and gullible politicians second, so there is very little chance of changing anything.
 
The best argument to avoid these expensive new laws:  Doing this in the UK will have a near zero effect on the global climate, even if you believe the IPCC’s' computer games (that are always predicting far more global warming than actually happens).

“It is easy to fool people. It is much more difficult to convince them that they have been fooled”.   Confucious
                    Ye Editor

Source of quotes that follow:

 
"In its Sixth Carbon Budget, published yesterday, the CCC claims the cost of turning Britain carbon neutral by 2050 has plummeted. It is now going to cost “just” £50 billion a year by 2030. And eventually that is all going to be cancelled out by lower fuel bills, anyway, so it will be free.


If something sounds too good to be true, you can be pretty sure it is. 


...  central to the Climate Change Committee’s ambitions are our homes, in particular a proposed ban on the sale of all new gas boilers by 2033 and oil boilers – relied upon by people in rural areas – by 2028.... 

 

... the costs are bound to fall disproportionately on the lowest- income homeowners.

 

... the CCC wants gas boilers to be replaced with electric heat pumps. But these cost a lot more: between £6,000 and £16,000 for a typical air-source heat pump, according to Which.

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 ... if you live in one of Britain’s nine million older homes with solid walls, that is just the beginning. Heat pumps operate on lower water temperatures than gas boilers. To heat a home effectively you may need to install much larger radiators and insulate the walls, too. 

 

Solid wall insulation, again according to Which estimates, comes in at £7,400 if stuck on the inside (which makes all the rooms smaller) and £13,000 if stuck on the outside. Damp is another potential hazard: cover an old house, built without a damp course, with cladding and insulation and you are asking for trouble.


... And if you can’t pay to upgrade your home? The CCC wants the sale of all new homes which don’t come up to standard to be banned from 2028, and mortgages on them to be stopped from 2033. In other words, if you can’t spend thousands to upgrade your home, you won’t be able to sell it or continue paying a mortgage. 

 

... All economic and social concerns are subjugated to this one target: reaching net zero emissions by 2050. We’ve seen it with diesel cars – encouraged in spite of causing deadly nitrogen oxide emissions. We’ve seen it with electric cars ...

 

It is easy to set targets, quite another to come up with practical measures to implement them at reasonable cost and without damaging side effects

 
 
One comment about the article 
(at the first link) was very interesting:

"Long before the publication of Prof. Michael Kelly’s seminal essay on the cost to homeowners for just the Domestic aspect of the Green Industrial revolution. 

I got quotes for installing a Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP). Between £20k to £30k. As the author points out, I live in a small, 3 bedroom, solid masonry, Victorian end terrace cottage. Insulation would be in excess of £10k.

If internal (and I can’t do it externally because the building is listed) the house would also require complete redecoration and a new kitchen and bathroom (neither survive being ripped out well these days). Pound for pound what Prof. Kelly has estimated.

The entire central heating system would need to be replaced including underfloor pipework. Whilst we were at it, whole house ventilation would be necessary as that’s the only cure for dampness.

Long story short – £75k to £100k. 
Money I don’t have nor can borrow."