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Thursday, February 4, 2021

"As carbon dioxide emissions have increased since the start of the Industrial Revolution, virtually every measurable and significant objective indicator of human well being has advanced:"

 Source:
https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2021/02/Goklany-EmpiricalTrends.pdf


"Regarding human well being: 
... as carbon dioxide emissions have increased since the start of the Industrial Revolution, virtually every measurable and significant objective indicator of human well being has advanced:


... The Earth is greener and more productive.

Conclusion

... Most extreme weather phenomena have not become more extreme, more deadly, or more destructive.

 
Empirical evidence directly contradicts claims that increased carbon dioxide has reduced human well being. 

 

In fact, human well being has never been higher.

 

     Claimed or implied impact
     of CO2 and global warming

                versus
                Reality


Access to water will decline

False.
... Access to cleaner water is up


Mortality from extreme weather events (EWEs) will increase
False.
Mortality rate from EWEs has
declined by 99% since the 1920s



More people will die from heat
False.
Fewer people are dying from heat. Globally, about 15 times as many people die from cold than heat, so warming should, if anything, have reduced mortality



Death rates from climate-sensitive diseases (e.g. malaria and diarrhea) will increase

False.
Global crude death rates have declined 96% since 1900 for malaria. Age-standardized death rates for diarrheal diseases have declined 56% since 1990



Hunger will become more prevalent
False.
Hunger rates have declined in the long term despite a 250% population increase since 1961



GDP per capita will decline
False.
GDP per capita has quadrupled since 1950



Poverty will increase

False.
Global poverty rates have declined significantly since 1820 because GDP per capita have increased 14-fold



Life expectancy will decline

False.
Global life expectancy has more than doubled since the start of industrialisation



Public health will suffer
False.
Health-adjusted life expectancy has increased with economic development, and energy use



Human development index (HDI) will
decline, and quality of life will decline

False.
HDI has increased, and more people
have access to, and use, modern amenities such as electricity, the Internet and mobile phones



Inequality will expand

False.
Globally inequality has decreased in terms
of incomes, life expectancies, HDI, as well
as access to modern-day amenities



Biological productivity is under threat
False
The earth is greener and more productive.
Habitat lost to agriculture has peaked due
to fossil fuel dependent technologies ...


... The detrimental effects of carbon dioxide and fossil fuels are overwhelmed  by  other  concurrent  changes  that  are  beneficial.


Fossil  fuels  have  allowed  the  population  to  increase  even  as  the  well being  of  the  average  person  has  improved  and  the  Earth has become greener and more productive. 

 

As a result, habitat lost to human uses has been halted, despite population increases. 

 

These are the very definitions of success for a species."