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Tuesday, February 8, 2022

Clean Energy is Dirtier Than Imagined, by Donn Dears

Source:

"CONCLUSION:
Wind and solar consume far more critical materials than nuclear, NGCC, and coal-fired power plants.

The mining, processing, and transporting of critical materials adversely affect the environment.

Most of these materials are mined in developing countries where environmental harm will be far worse because they have fewer environmental regulations than do developed countries.

Therefore, nuclear, NGCC, and coal-fired power plants will do substantially less damage to the environment than will the use of wind and PV solar.

One could rightly say nuclear, NGCC, and coal-fired power plants are more sustainable than wind and solar.


DETAILS:

"The effect of wind power on birds and bats is already well-publicized but is being swept under the rug.

This article will explain why using wind and PV solar for generating electricity will cause greater harm to the environment than will using nuclear, natural gas combined cycle (NGCC), or coal-fired power plants.

The following chart, published by EnrgyPostEU, compares critical materials used by six different methods for generating electricity.




However, this chart is woefully misleading because it seriously understates the amount of critical materials used by wind and PV solar compared with nuclear, coal or natural gas combined cycle power plants.

According to the chart, the total materials used in kg/MW are as follows:

    Offshore wind 15,000
    Onshore wind 9,200
    Solar PV 6,800
    Nuclear 5,200
    Coal 2,100
    Natural gas combined cycle 1,200

This would seem to show how much critical material is used for wind and solar when compared with nuclear, coal, and natural gas.

It infers that offshore wind, for example, only uses 3 times the amount of critical materials than a nuclear power plant.

However, the values are kg /MW of installed capacity and not for materials used per MW of electricity produced, i.e., kg/MWh.

It also doesn’t reflect the operational life of these six alternatives.

This begs the question:

What is a fair comparison of critical materials used by these different types of power plants to generate the same amounts of electricity?

To answer that question we can look at the materials used when comparing

(1) the amount of electricity produced and

(2) the operating lives of these different types of power plants.

1,  Critical materials consumed based on the quantity of electricity produced:

The capacity factors (CF) for each type of generation are shown here.

    Onshore wind 35%
    Offshore wind 52%
    Solar 25%
    Nuclear 92%
    Natural gas combined cycle 56%
    Coal 54%

(This data is for 2020 from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) , except offshore wind is from the International Energy Agency (IEA).)

CF reflects the amount of electricity actually produced by a power plant.

So, for example, a nuclear power plant will generate about twice as much electricity per MW as will an offshore wind turbine.

From this data the critical materials required to generate electricity in kg/MWh is as follows.

Specifically, in kg/MWh:

    Offshore wind 28,900
    Onshore wind 26,300
    Solar 27,200
    Nuclear 5,650
    NGCC 2,140
    Coal 3,890

2.  Quantities of material used based on plant lifetimes.

Onshore wind and PV solar have expected lifetimes of around 20 years.

Offshore wind installations may also have expected lifetimes of 20 years, though, at this point, no one knows their life expectancy.

For example, how well will they hold up against hurricanes?

Nuclear power plants operate for 80 years, while NGCC power plants operate for at least 40 years and coal-fired power plants operate for 60 years.

Therefore, wind and solar plants have to be built and then replaced three times while the nuclear plant is built just once.

Here are the quantities of critical materials consumed in kg/MWh over the life of a nuclear power plant:

    Offshore wind 4 * 28,800 = 115,600
    Onshore wind 4 * 26,300 = 105,200
    PV solar         4 * 27,200 = 108,800
    Nuclear 5,700

In other words offshore wind, and onshore wind and solar require approximately 19 times more critical materials than does nuclear power.

Here are the quantities of critical materials consumed in kg/MWh over the 40 year life of a natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) power plant:

    Offshore wind 2 * 28,900 = 57,800
    Onshore wind 2 * 26,300 = 52,600
    PV solar         2 * 27,200 = 54,400
    NGCC 2,140

In other words offshore wind, and onshore wind and solar require approximately 25 times more critical materials than does a natural gas combined cycle power plant.

Similar calculations can be made for coal-fired power plants."

Comment on the article:
"It seems to me that your capacity factors for gas and coal are low as a consequence of contorted thinking by the EIA and our Government(s).

These plants can and often do operate at or near full power but cannot in a modern wind/solar-supplemented utility system.

Political requirements demand instead that such systems accept wind /  solar power whenever it is available thus forcing gas and coal plants to reduce their output and cycle to meet demand at those times.

This of course reduces their apparent capacity factor and cycling shortens their operating lifetime as well.

Perhaps two capacity factors for these machines are needed

1) the design capacity factor based on operations in a windless/sunless system and

2) the apparent capacity factor as observed in a wind/sun supplemented system."

Author's Response:
"You are 100% correct.
I have used the more accurate CFs in other articles and have always been criticized for doing so.

As a result, to avoid negative feed back, I have resorted to using the CFs published by EIA.  

The CFs published by the EIA are affected by the forced addition of wind and solar that results in coal and natural gas having to follow the load, as you explain in your comments.

The CFs of coal and NGCC power plants would be much higher without the use of wind and solar.  

It’s another way in which the proponents of wind and solar muddy the waters and mislead people."