I want to thank readers for a 721 visits yesterday, more than a usual Wednesday.
That tells me I'm doing a good job selecting the best climate science
and energy articles, by various authors, that I've read in the past 24 hours. I'd be reading the articles whether or not I had this blog. This is where I share them with others. This is my free public service blog with no ads. My goal is to refute all the goobermint and mass media climate scaremongering.
This blog is not about
me, although I put my two cents in some NOTES before some of the articles posted here.
Sometimes three cents, as in this "climate rap". Speaking of rap, I built a pair of speakers for my TV set, and tested them yesterday with all the bass heavy rap music on Comcast cable TV (Music Choice stations). Rap music is an embarrassment - just awful 98% of the time. Sometimes the beat is fun, but only when you can't understand the lyrics. Which, fortunately, is often. Unfortunately, reggae has become rap music with a Jamaican accent. I loved reggae music in the 1970s, and still love 1970s reggae today. And I also noticed some Latin channels had rap with Spanish lyrics. Motown in the 1960s had great music by Black artists. No more. Enough ranting and raving -- back to the subject of climate.
I prefer a variety of authors who pass my
internal BS meter test. Whatever articles are posted here will stay here forever.
That's been true since this blog was launched in 2014 to supplement my
former for profit newsletter ECONOMIC LOGIC, which I edited from 1977 to
early 2000. That was 43 years of experience selecting who to believe,
and who was spouting nonsense.
Climate
science has been over 40 years of always wrong wild guess
predictions of doom from global warming -- since the 1980s. Similar
predictions were mainly in scientific papers since the
late 1950s. And there were a few wrong wild guess predictions of global
cooling doom in the mid-1970s. Of course a global warming trend began in
the next year. That pesky climate is impossible to predict. Even when
there are only two choices -- getting warmer or getting cooler. So I don't allow predictions here, knowing they will stay here forever, and are likely be wrong.
Our planet has ice ages. We are in one now. We are also in the warm portion of that ice age -- the Holocene interglacial. And that is great news. Within the interglacial are mild warming and cooling trends. Climate reconstructions detect them using climate proxies, such as Antarctica ice cores.
But only since 1979 have we had reasonably accurate compilations of the global average temperature, using data from NASA weather satellites. The linear trend line since 1979 is +0.13 degrees C. per decade. Which means moderate global warming. Strangely, +0.12 degrees C. per decade over the oceans, and +0.18 degrees per decade over land, which I can't explain. The chart below was released March 1, 2022, with additional details, at the link below: http://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/03/uah-global-temperature-update-for-february-2022-0-00-deg-c/
In the chart above, it is very tempting to pick the month of February 2022, and compare it with an identical temperature anomaly month in 1983. But that would be data mining. Scientists say "Don do dat". The linear trend line is a global warming trend. 30 years or more of average weather is climate. The global average temperature is one element of the climate.
The global warming since 1979 has been fast enough to suspect man made CO2 emissions are causing some of that warming. How much is a mystery. Not likely to be 100% or zero. It is possible the warming was 100% natural, and CO2 had no effect, but unlikely.
Adding more CO2 greenhouse gas to the atmosphere DOES reduce our planet's ability to cool itself. That could explain the rising trend of night time low temperatures (TMIN) since the 1970s. Which affects the daily average temperature ( TMAX + TMIN / 2 ). Those warmer nights have been mainly during the coldest six months of the year, and mainly affecting the colder Northern half (higher latitudes) of the Northern Hemisphere. Those are ALL expected patterns of greenhouse gas warming. But they are not the same pattern we've had in the Southern Hemisphere. Where Antarctica has not been not warming since the 1970s (unlike the Arctic, which has been warming faster than anywhere else since the 1970s). Yet another climate science mystery.
Within that global average temperature trend since the 1970s was a flat trend from about 2003 through mid-2015. In the US, however, a relatively flat average temperature trend (48 states) was much longer, based on our best weather station network -- NOAA's USCRN, launched in 2005 (chart below):
The bottom line is that climate science has more unanswered questions than questions with proven answers. The predictions are consistently wrong, except for one, by me, made in 1997, just after I began reading about climate science. My first article on climate science was in a 2007 ECONOMIC LOGIC newsletter. My second article was in a 2014 ECONOMIC LOGIC newsletter. Then I launched this blog, just to update that 2014 article with new information, for subscribers only. But they were not particularly interested. They preferred my Economics and Finance blog, that I had launched in 2008. That blog's URL was changed frequently until 2017, when I opened the blog to people who were not newsletter subscribers. The current URL, since 2017, is: www.EL2017.Blogspot.com
After a few years of not many page views here by ECONOMIC LOGIC subscribers, I decided to let others know the URL to this blog. I added it at the close of any comments I made after reading online climate and energy articles.
I had gone 20 years, from 1996 to 2016, using the internet without ever leaving a comment anywhere. Or reading comments. That ended in 2016, to "advertise" this blog in my comments. Now I read comments, but only those after articles I enjoyed, and am consider posting here. Sometimes a good comment will refute something in the article. Often comments are not interesting, or are baloney. And I don't like baloney. I have three blogs to help people avoid climate baloney in the mass media.
And now for the ONLY climate forecast in world history that was right, and will always be right, made by me in 1997:"The climate will get warmer, unless it gets colder" ... and that "prediction" is the first lesson of climate science. I'm still waiting for my Nobel Prize. Or at least a Nobel Prize Participation Trophy!
Richard Greene, since 1953
Bingham Farms, Michigan, since 1987
BS 1975, State University of New York, at Albany
MBA 1977, Stern School of Business, at New York University
TBW - Trained By Wife
My favorite climate science comic, climate science meme, and energy meme:
