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Sunday, April 17, 2022

The IPCC wrote this in 2001 just before yet another wrong wild guess about the future climate !

Source:
https://archive.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/504.htm
 

What the IPCC once said about predicting the climate:
"14.2.2
Predictability in a Chaotic System

The climate system is particularly challenging since it is known that components in the system are inherently chaotic; there are feedbacks that could potentially switch sign, and there are central processes that affect the system in a complicated, non-linear manner. These complex, chaotic, non-linear dynamics are an inherent aspect of the climate system.

As the IPCC WGI Second Assessment Report (IPCC, 1996) (hereafter SAR) has previously noted, “future unexpected, large and rapid climate system changes (as have occurred in the past) are, by their nature, difficult to predict.  This implies that future climate changes may also involve ‘surprises’.  In particular, these arise from the non-linear, chaotic nature of the climate system"