Thank you for almost 1,000 page views yesterday over 1,000 so far today. And I don't even have the usual, exciting mainstream media tall tales of a climate emergency here as click bait. No always wrong wild guess predictions of the future climate here. I will never claim that climate change will kill your dog, or cause warts. No photos of pretty girls to attract page views here, like her:
I will claim the climate will get warmer, unless it gets colder -- my one and only climate prediction in 1997, made one hour after I began a new hobby of climate science and energy reading.
I prefer the truth about the current climate and climate science, not always wrong wild guess predictions of climate doom:
There is a greenhouse effect.
CO2 is part of it
There is a more water vapor positive feedback to a warmer troposphere
But there is also a more cloudiness negative feedback, caused by the more water vapor positive feedback, that limits it, and prevents runaway global warming.
Manmade global warming is real, but no one knows the exact effect of CO2 -- there are too many climate change variables to know the exact effect of each one.
We don't know the global average temperature and CO2 level in 1850, but we have rough estimates of about 14 degrees C. and CO2 at 280 ppm.
We do know the average temperature today is about 15 degrees C. and the CO2 level is about 415 ppm. The +135 ppm CO2 increase, from 280 ppm to 415 ppm, is entirely from manmade CO2. Nature is a net CO2 absorber: Oceans, land and plants. Plus the huge quantities of CO2 stored in soda and beer cans and bottles, which are low tech CO2 storage devices.
Humans added from +200 ppm to +300 ppm of CO2 to the atmosphere from hydrocarbon fuel emissions. Let's assume +250 ppm. Nature absorbed about half of the +250 ppm of CO2 emissions, so the resulting atmospheric CO2 level was up +135 ppm CO2 since 1850.
It is very likely that +135 ppm CO2 caused some amount of global warming.
Using UAH satellite data since 1979 -- the most accurate measurements, with the best surface coverage -- most of the warming was in the northern half of the Northern Hemisphere, mainly in the coldest six months of the year and at night (TMIN before sunrise). Think of warmer winter nights in Siberia. Good news, not a climate emergency. Of course no one actually lives in the global average temperature -- it's just a statistic. But people in Siberia are happy.
The change in the global average temperature since 1850 is about 1 degree C. (claimed to be +1.1 degrees)
+0.4 degrees C. was before 1975, mainly from natural causes.
+0.7 degrees C. was after 1975, from natural and manmade causes.
No one on this planet was harmed by the slight temperature change since 1850. It was NOT warmer summer days in the tropics, because CO2 has little effect on tropic climates with high levels of water vapor.
We love global warming here in Michigan and want a lot more. Meanwhile, our planet has the best climate for humans, animals, and especially plants, in the past 5,000 years.
We Climate Realists celebrate the current climate, while those pesky leftists try to prevent us from enjoying the current climate. I've always said that leftists ruin everything they touch. They're even trying to ruin the climate! And the electric grid too.
(1) Economic Logic, since 2008:
Finance and Economics
The following variables are likely to influence Earth's climate:
4) Greenhouse gas emissions
6) Unknown causes of variations of a
complex, non-linear system