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Sunday, December 17, 2017

10 'Big Whoppers' of Fake Climate "Science"

Real science, 
has real scientists,
collecting real data,
and analyzing it.

Real science can be proven wrong.
(falsification from: 
Any exception to the conclusion, 
or making inaccurate predictions,
using the conclusion,
or other scientists can't replicate,
the experiment conclusion.)

Real science can be proven right.
(verification from:
making accurate predictions, 
using the conclusion,
or at least by experiment replication)

Fake science also has real scientists,
but they don't work on real science!

Fake science can't be falsified.

Fake science can't be verified.

Fake science is:
 " Because we say so (non)science*** "
                                                     *** nonsense, actually

One example of fake science,
is US government bureaucrat, 
climate modelers, 
who may have science degrees,
but they do not work,
on real science --
their wild guess predictions,
of the future average temperature,
are climate astrology,
not climate science!

They were actually hired,
to play computer games,
and make scary predictions,
of the future average temperature,
and they have been making,
very wrong predictions,
for the past 30 years,
yet people still listen to them,
for reasons I'll never understand !

Unfortunately, the same bureaucrats,
who keep predicting lots of warming,
also collect temperature actuals,
and compile the global average,
meaning there is a conflict of interest,
and a risk the actuals will be "fixed".

I'm sorry to report this to you,
but climate science fraud is happening,
because almost every "adjustment",
that rewrites climate history,
creates more global warming,
out of thin air. 

At least one-third,
and up to one-half,
of the total claimed global warming,
since the year 1880,
(which is only +1 degree C.),
is from questionable "adjustments",
to raw temperature data. 

More and more warming,
'created' by repeated "adjustments"
to historical temperature data,
year after year, eventually
makes old temperature predictions,
look better and better!

After enough "adjustments",
to historical temperature data,
maybe the new history books,
written by leftists in the future,
will loudly proclaim that the
old government bureaucrat,
temperature predictions,
were very accurate!

In my opinion,
these fake scientists,
on government payrolls,
should be unemployed,
punished for science fraud,
and permanently banned,
from future paychecks,
funded by the US taxpayers!


The  Top  10  'Big  Whoppers' 
of fake "climate science" are: 

(1)
The fake "Global Circulation Models":
The causes of climate change,
are not known with any precision,
in spite of what leftists claim,
except one obvious observation,
which is that carbon dioxide (CO2),
does NOT control the climate.

All computer climate models,
assume CO2 controls the climate,
so have made grossly inaccurate,
temperature predictions for 30 years.

"Models" that make wrong predictions,
are really worthless computer games,
not models. 



(2) 
The fake "CO2 Controls the Climate":
Not for the 4.5 billion years,
ending in 1940, when climate change,
was natural, not man made,
before the era of adding.
man made CO2 to the air.

Not for the years from 1940 to 1975,
when we are told "aerosols",
caused global cooling.

Not for the years from 2000 to 2015,
when over 50 excuses
were thrown out to explain,
the flat temperature trend,
over those 15 years,
causing skeptics to laugh,
until smarmy bureaucrats,
got very embarrassed.

So during the year 2015,
smarmy government bureaucrats,
arbitrarily "adjusted",
sea temperatures,
and then, "by magic", 
we had slight warming,
from 2000 to 2015.

I know you never heard of this,
in the mainstream press.

That leaves only 1975 to 2000,
a few decades when we did have,
global warming and rising CO2,
at the same time, 
for the only time, 
believe it or not,
in the past 4.5 billion years!

To believe global warmunists,
you have to completely ignore,
4.5 billion years of climate history,
and focus only on 1975 to 2000.



(3) 
The fake "Nothing Else Matters But CO2":
We had mild global warming, 
from 1910 to 1940,
said to be natural climate change,
by everyone,
and an almost identical warming,
from 1975 to 2000,
but that warming period,
was claimed to be caused,
by man made CO2.

There was never an explanation,
why two similar warming periods,
in the same century,
would have completely different,
causes. And there remains no proof,
that the 1975 to 2000 warming,
was man made, from CO2,
rather than natural climate change.



(4) 
The fake "Average Temperature is Climate":
Using a global average temperature,
hides important regional details,
such as the fact that there was,
a lot of Arctic warming,
and no Antarctica warming,
except for the peninsula,
which is only 2% of Antarctica, 
warmed by an underseas volcano,
not warmed by CO2.

Greenhouse gasses,
should warm polar areas most,
and that did not happen,
to Antarctica temperatures,
which is hidden from the public,
by using a global average,
so no one knows,
98% of Antarctica,
is not warming.



(5) 
The fake "Mann Hockey Stick Chart":
Unreliable tree ring data,
used as a proxy for temperatures, 
in prior centuries, 
showed an unrealistic,
very steady temperature,
for many centuries,
which was different than,
all other historical climate proxies.

But the tree ring data had a "problem",
they showed global cooling,
in the past century, 
so a smarmy bureaucrat,
named Michael Mann,
best known for suing skeptics,
who criticize and refute,
his fake science,
deleted the tree ring data,
in the past century,
that showed cooling, 
from his chart,
and secretly replaced it,
with modern thermometer data,
that showing warming,
in the past century,
called "the hockey stick".



(6) 
The fake "97% Scientist Consensus":
For one example,
over 10,000 surveys were sent out,
and thousands were returned,
but most "wrong" responses,
were arbitrarily deleted,
until the 97% goal was reached,
based on under 100 respondents!

Another survey "evaluated",
scientific papers,
that no one actually read,
because it was decided,
that college students,
reading the brief abstracts,
was good enough!

Abstracts are notorious,
for being inaccurate summaries,
of scientific papers.



(7) 
The fake "IPCC's 95% Confidence": 
A meaningless number,
pulled out of thin air,
with no scientific basis!

Lead scientist: 
   "Do you guys feel confident?"
Other scientists: 
   "YEEEEESSSSSS!"
Lead scientist: 
   "That sounds like 95% to me!"
( Note: I'm not kidding, 
that's all the "95%" means! )



(8) 
The fake "+2 degrees C. Tipping Point": 
A meaningless number,
from an unknown economist,
pulled out of thin air,
with no scientific basis! 

In fact, the average temperature
has already increased,
at least +2 degrees C.,
from the very cold period,
of low solar activity,
in the late 1600s,
called the Maunder Minimum,
a climate so cold,
it caused famines in Europe.

Anecdotal evidence shows,
people living at the time,
hated the cold climate,
but were thrilled,
by the warming that followed,
which wasn't caused by CO2!



(9) 
The half fake "Surface Measurements":
With no temperature data,
for roughly half the Earth's surface,
government bureaucrats,
who had been predicting,
lots of global warming,
since the 1980s,
get to make wild guesses 
   (aka "infilling"),
of the temperature in areas 
    (aka "grids"),
with no thermometers.

Their wild guesses,
can never be verified 
     (proven correct), 
or falsified 
    (proven wrong),
with real temperature data, 
from real thermometers.

NASA-GISS actually claims,
record high temperatures,
in areas with no thermometers,
which I call: 
"Because we say so science".

Weather satellite temperature data,
require very little infilling,
and their data are confirmed,
by very similar measurements,
made from weather balloons.

Having two
measurement methodologies,
and very little infilling,
means fewer opportunities,
for government bureaucrat fraud.

But the main reason,
weather satellites,
and weather balloons,
are completely ignored,
for global temperature averages,
by the government agencies,
who actually own them,
is because both measure,
significantly less warming,
than surface thermometers!
... And we can't have that, 
can we?



(10) 
The fake "+/- 0.1 degree C. Margin of Error":
Most surface measurement instruments,
have a +/- 1 degree C. margin of error,
so there is no scientific reason,
for US government bureaucrats,
at NASA-GISS and NOAA,
to falsely claim a +/- 0.1 degree C.,
margin of error, for their compilation,
of the global average temperature.

Multiple measurements,
at one location,  
can improve accuracy,
but the global average temperature,
is based on SINGLE measurements,
at half the locations (grids),
and wild guesses,
for the rest of the grids,
that have no thermometers.

Even worse,
the 1880 starting point,
for "global warming",
had thermometers,
that tended to read low,
exaggerating the warming,
since 1880.

In addition, 
there were few measurements,
in the Southern Hemisphere,
from 1880 to 1940. 

It is very possible,
the global average temperature,
margin of error,
is over +/- 1 degree C. 

NASA ignores their own,
unrealistic margins of error claims,
by using a few hundredths,
of a degree C.,
to claim one year,
was warmer,
than the prior year.

They ignored,
their own fake,
+/- 0.1 degree C.
margin of error,
for example,
when claiming 2016,
was +0.04 degrees C.
warmer than 2015.

The science is so bad,
it is hard to believe. 


      I'm adding an (11),
because (9) was only half fake


(11) 
The fake "Water Vapor 
Positive Feedback Theory":
Very simple, closed system,
laboratory experiments,
show CO2 is a greenhouse gas,
which may cause,
mild, harmless warming,
in the real world,
mainly at night,
in cold climates.

The lab experiments suggest,
but do not prove,
a doubling of CO2 levels,
could warm the Earth,
about +1 degree C.

Based on recent rates,
of annual CO2 increases,
that would mean +1 degree C.,
of global warming,
in the next 133* to 200** years!
 * = 2 ppm per year more CO2 in air
** = 3 ppm per year more CO2 in air

But a mere one degree of warming,
gradually over 100 to 200 years,
mainly at night, in cold climates,
is NOT going to scare people.

So government bureaucrats,
made up a new theory,
out of thin air,
to scare and control people:
  They claim CO2 warming,
will add water vapor,
to the atmosphere,
causing even more warming,
tripling the warming effect,
from CO2 alone, 
and this "positive feedback"
will never stop,
until all life on Earth ends,
due to runaway global warming !

Now that is a scary boogeyman !

And also pure baloney !

There's no way to prove,
the water vapor,
"positive feedback", 
runaway warming theory,
is true, and no one tries to,
because the general public,
has no idea CO2
lab experiment results,
of + 1 degree C. warming,
for a doubling of CO2,
was arbitrarily tripled,
based on no real science at all !

The "positive feedback" theory,
is easily rejected:
Because our planet had,
more CO2 in the air,
than it has today, 
for almost all of its,
4.5 billion year existence,
up to 20x more CO2 than now,
yet there was never,
any runaway warming,
in the past,
or else none of us,
would be alive today,
to laugh at the fake science,
behind the fake global warming scare,
while enjoying our wonderful climate.

Earth's climate has been getting better,
from adding CO2 to the air,
based on the real science,
of thousands of science experiments***,
showing how more CO2 in the air,
accelerates green plant growth,
and there are also satellite measurements,

The scary prediction of,
a coming climate catastrophe,
from people who have no clue,
about the climate in 100 years,
or in the next 50 years, 
or even in the next 10 years,
is the Biggest Whopper
 of them all !

Enjoy the current climate.

In the US, environmentalists led,
the clean up of pollution,
that plagued us in the 1970s,
but now they ignore,
even worse pollution in Asia,
especially in China and India,
while wasting time and money,
demonizing beneficial CO2 "plant food"!

In my opinion, 
today's environment activists,
are all fluxed up, 
and that insult,
was the highlight,
of my day!

Richard Greene
December 16, 2017
Bingham Farms, Michigan
BS, 1975
MBA, 1977
DBW, 1978**
Libertarian,
Atheist,
Does not speak French, and 
Thinks he is funny:
Often compared with Rodney Dangerfield****

** Domesticated By Wife, since 1978,
*** Wife claims I look like Rodney Dangerfield!