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Saturday, September 28, 2019

Cycles -- Probable climate related oscillations

There are climate 
affecting cycles
completely unrelated 
to atmospheric
CO2 levels:


Probable 
climate related 
oscillations:

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO)
-- Eastward moving pattern of 
increased rainfall over the 
tropics with a period of 
30 to 60 days.


The Quasi-biennial oscillation
-- Oscillation in wind patterns 
in the stratosphere around 
the equator. The dominant 
wind direction changes 
from easterly to westerly 
and back over a period 
of 28 months.


The El NiƱo Southern Oscillation
-- Warmer (el Nino) 
and colder (la Nina)
sea surface temperature trends
in the tropical Pacific Ocean 
sufficient to affect the global 
average temperature
 -- a  2 to 8 year cycle
tending to sum to zero 
temperature change 
over several decades.


The Pacific Decadal Oscillation
-- Sea surface variability in the 
North Pacific.


The Inter-decadal 
Pacific Oscillation
-- A basin wide variability 
in the Pacific Ocean 
with a period between 
20 and 30 years.


Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
-- Variability in the North Atlantic 
of about 55 to 70 years, 
with effects on rainfall, 
droughts and hurricane 
frequency and intensity.


The Pacific Centennial Oscillation
60-year climate cycle recorded 
in many ancient calendars.


North African climate cycles
Tens of thousands of years


Milankovitch planetary 
geometry cycles of 23,000, 
41,000 and 100,000 years


The glacial periods 
of the current ice age
of about 100 000 years,
( including a 10,000 year
warm interglacial and 
90,000 cold years ).



Some natural solar cycles, 
whose effects on climate 
have not yet been discovered,
assuming any effects exist:

The Schwabe Cycle 
or sunspot cycle 
– about 11 years


The Hale Cycle
 or double sunspot cycle 
– about 22 years


The Gleissberg Cycle 
– about 88 years


The Suess Cycle 
or De Vries Cycle 
– about 200 years

The Hallstadtzeit /
Hallstatt Cycle 
– about 2,200 to 2,400 years