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Sunday, October 13, 2019

2018 paper alleging oceans warming faster than everyone thought is retracted in 2019 !

Just in time 
for the IPCC's 
special report 
on warming oceans 
and melting ice:

Nature magazine 
retracted 
a 2018 paper 
alleging the oceans 
were warming faster 
than everyone 
previously thought. 

The study 
got worldwide 
headlines.

Because It told 
climate alarmists
exactly what 
they wanted to hear:

-- Bad news warming is coming, 

-- Worse than we previously thought, 

-- it's our fault, etc.


An amateur British scientist
spotted many math errors.

The authors 
had tried to claim 
their results 
were still valid, 
but after 
nearly a year 
of investigating, 
Nature magazine 
retracted the paper.

Nicholas Lewis 
found the errors.

He has training 
in mathematics 
and statistics, 
and worked in 
the finance sector 
before retiring. 

Among his hobbies 
is reading papers 
in the field of 
climatology.

Lewis has published 
a number of technical 
papers in climatology 
journals.



The climatologists who wrote 
the study weren't statisticians.

And none of the reviewers 
at Nature caught the errors,
until Lewis wrote to tell them.

When the study appeared 
in October 2018, it supposedly 
showed the oceans had absorbed 
far more heat than indicated 
in prior data sets. 

If it had found 
that the oceans 
had absorbed 
less heat 
than we thought, 
it would probably 
have been rejected 
for publication. !

Lewis showed:
-- The authors' data 
actually indicated 
no more heat 
accumulation 
in the oceans 
than other studies 
had estimated, and
the results were 
far more uncertain 
than the authors let on.

There was very little
media coverage 
of the errors.