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Wednesday, October 9, 2019

Another problem with electric vehicles -- low resale value

China is the 
world’s largest 
electric vehicle
 (EV) market.

They have built up a huge 
manufacturing capacity, 
thanks to generous 
government incentives.

The China Passenger 
Car Association listed 
several reasons why 
the EV value retention 
is “too low” for fully electric
and hybird gasoline / electric
vehicles.

Except for Teslas.

Certain models 
are not reliable 
and are 
“simply worthless,” 
the association said.

" ... the lifespan of electric car 
components and batteries 
are still inferior to that 
of similar components 
for traditional vehicles."

Chinese electric vehicle sales 
are starting to contract along
with traditional vehicle sales
( that have been falling 
for more than a year ).

Sale of EVs and hybrids  
fell 16% in August 2019, 
following a 4.7% drop 
in July 2019, after 
the government 
scaled back subsidies, 
according to the China 
Association of Automobile 
Manufacturers.

According to 
a report in Quartz, 
a Tesla’s residual value
at one year is more than 70% 
of its original price, far higher
than the value of any 
Chinese EV model 
at the same mark.

Government subsidies 
have created a lot of 
Chinese EV manufacturers.

The Chinese EV with the 
highest residual value 
at one year was a 
sports utility vehicle 
from Roewe, a subsidiary 
of state-run SAIC Motor, 
while for many popular 
brands it’s under 35%.

The residual value of a 
gasoline car can stay 
at about 60% to 75% 
even after three years.

The primary problems
that cause very low
residual value:
(1)
The limited range of the 
first generations of EVs, 
(2) 
Consumers reporting 
frequent repairs, and 
(3)  
Poor after-sales service. 

Most of second-hand EVs 
on sale in China are 
two to three years old, 
with a typical battery range 
of just 200 km (124 miles),
and warranties on those cars 
have often expired.

Consider 
a three-year-old 
Tesla Model S
with a 480 km range
          (300 miles) 
 with mileage of
38,000 kilometers 
      (about 24,000 miles) 
listed for 475,300 yuan 
           (US$66,908) 
on Tesla’s own 
Chinese web site, for 
nearly 60% of the price 
of the current Model S, 
with a range of 660 km.

Consider a Guazi, BYD’s 
popular compact SUV, 
Song, an EV that listed for 
119,800 yuan
        ($16,903), 
which is only 40% of its 
original price in 2017 !