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Monday, October 7, 2019

Coral scaremongering, versus actual facts

20,000 years ago 
sea level was 
400 feet lower 
than today.

The missing water 
was on the land
in the form of ice
glaciers, covering
Canada, Chicago, 
Detroit, etc.

That means 
any coral living
in the first 
400 feet of the
ocean's depth 
must have 
dried up and died
20,000 years ago.

But the 
coral reefs 
managed to 
fully recover 
as our planet 
warmed in the 
past 20,000 years.










Corals also face huge 
damage from cyclones
( hurricanes ), coral-eating 
crown-of-thorns starfish, 
and El Niño (Pacific ocean
heat releases) related to
coral bleaching:



Most reefs 
fully recover 
in 7 to 30 years. 

A huge 1998 
El Niño event 
caused about
95% mortality 
for 12 coral reefs -- 
but 6 of the 12 reefs 
fully recovered 
within 7-12 years, 
and within 16 years, 
total coral cover 
had increased 
to 135% to 305% 
of pre-bleaching values ! 

The 6 other coral reefs
continued to recover 
at a slower rate.



Cyclones cause
about half of lost 
coral cover, plus 
about 40% from
crown-of-thorns 
starfish feeding,
and about 10% 
from warm water 
bleaching.

Coral growth
is typically 
fully restored 
within 10 years. 

Remnants 
of living tissues 
can expand, 
regenerating 
tissue that covers 
dead skeletons
( "The Phoenix Effect" )



Bleaching is not 
always lethal. 

When over 90% 
of the coral 
on the Palmyra Atoll 
experienced bleaching, 
there was no loss of coral 
on the reef flats, and only 
a 9% loss on the fore reefs. 



Reef building corals 
depend on energy from 
photosynthesizing 
symbiotic algae. 

During the winter, 
coral increase their 
symbiotic algae, 
as lower light reduces 
photosynthesis. 

Each summer, as light 
intensity increases, 
they expel symbionts. 

Bleaching 
is an extreme 
of that behavior. 



After bleaching, 
coral can replace 
their symbiotic algae 
within days, or months, 
with no resulting 
mortality.

Coral can even get 
an instantaneous 
genetic upgrade 
by acquiring new 
symbiotic algae. 

Acquiring different 
symbiotic algae 
must have allowed 
coral to adapt 
to dramatic 
temperature 
changes as 
the Ice Ages 
came and went.



During El Niños,
there's extra
warm water
and  cloud cover.

Local sea levels 
dramatically fall. 

-- Falling sea levels 
expose the Great 
Barrier Reef coral 
to drying winds, 
and shallower bays, 
that heat more rapidly. 

-- With less clouds, 
the Great Barrier Reef 
is exposed to 
more sunshine and 
more heat waves. 

There's a very
strong connection 
between ocean heat 
waves, and El Niños. 

And Coral bleaching 
correlates well 
with El Niños.