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Thursday, October 24, 2019

PAST global warming has been 100% good news

Leftists refuse 
to believe reality.

The past 300+ years
of intermittent,
mild, harmless,
global warming, 
since the cold
1600s, was
good news.

A gradually 
warming
climate
has been 
good news,
and the good
news could
continue.

Unfortunately.
leftists are very
negative people
-- they refuse 
to believe mild
warming would 
be good news.

Continued mild,
harmless warming
would be especially 
good news if the past 
climate change
pattern continued:
(1)
Virtually no 
warming of
Antarctica
( good news for 
sea level rise )

(2) 
Fastest warming
in the northern half 
of the Northern 
Hemisphere 
( good news for the 
few people living there )

(3)
Slowest warming
in the tropics
( good news -- they
are warm enough )

(4) 
Majority of warming 
during the coldest 
six months of the year
( warmer winters
are good news )

(5)
Majority of warming 
at night
( warmer nights 
are good news )












If you study past 
global warming, 
you may want 
to consider 
if one of the 
biggest changes
was good news, 
or bad news.

Do you think 
the warmer 
winter nights 
in Alaska 
are good news, 
or bad news ?  

Good news, of course.


A single global average
temperature hides 
a lot of important 
climate change details.

That's why you 
ONLY hear one number
-- average global temperature --
a temperature that no one
actually lives in !



Leftists believe a lot 
of strange things
about the climate,
such as:
  They believe that
4.5 billion years of 
natural climate change
suddenly ended in the
20th century, and 
then man made CO2 
suddenly became the 
"climate controller".

When asked how, 
and why, that
could happen, 
government
bureaucrat 
"scientists"
will say: 
'We're big shot 
scientists, 
and you are 
a science denier, 
so just shut up and
do what we say!' 



The global 
average
temperature 
has ALREADY 
increased at least 
+1.5 degrees C. 
since the late 1600s 
( +2 degrees C., 
based on real time 
Central England 
measurements. )

Was there 
any damage 
from that 
global warming?

No damage.

In fact, people living
in the late 1600s
hated their cold climate.

There were some
famines in Europe.



We have observed 
past, intermittent,
mild, harmless,
global warming, 
while CO2 was 
added to the 
atmosphere 
after 1940.

Although there is 
no good explanation 
for the global cooling
from 1940 to 1975.

The "best" explanation
for the global cooling
was so bad, 
the government 
bureaucrats
keep reducing 
the global cooling
from 1940 to 1975,
so they don't have to 
explain it !

The "best" explanation
we've been handed
for that global cooling 
is that air pollution 
was blocking 
some sunlight,
from 1940 to 1975.

But then global warming 
began in 1975, while air 
pollution was STILL 
ramping up.

We know all the 
air pollution DID NOT 
suddenly fall out of the air
in 1975, allowing global 
warming to begin in 1975 !

Air pollution is obviously 
a wrong explanation,
intended for gullible people, 
and a mainstream media 
that will never question it.

In fact, air pollution 
had no significant 
decline until after 2000, 
and is still a serious 
problem in Asia.



Although starting 
with -0.3 degrees C.
global cooling 
from 1940 to 1975,
one global temperature
compilation now shows
no cooling at all -- another
has cut the cooling in half !

Changing climate history,
many decades after actual
measurements, seems like
science fraud.

Because it is science fraud.

Government 
bureaucrats 
predict lots of 
global warming,
and they also own
climate history data
-- a conflict of interest.

They change 
climate history,
at will, to create 
more global warming 
out of thin air, 
because they can.

This is never reported
in the mainstream media.

Repeated "adjustments"
to keep increasing the 
reported global warming,
usually by cooling the past,
seem like science fraud.

Because they are science fraud.



Climate science 
is far from 
being "settled".

The CO2 - global average
temperature relationship
has repeatedly changed,
and has not had a constant
positive correlation !

There have been 
three DIFFERENT  
CO2 level - global 
average temperature 
correlations since 1940:
  Negative correlation
          ( 1940 to 1975 ), 
  Positive correlation
         ( 1975 to 2005 ),
    No correlation 
     ( 2005 to mid-2015 ).



Humans added 
a lot of CO2 
to the air
after 1940,
from burning
fossil fuels.

There was also 
global warming, 
mainly from 
1975 to 2005.

The positive
correlation
from 1975 to 2005
does NOT prove 
CO2 emissions 
caused any of the 
global warming.

That's only 
an assumption,
based on 
laboratory 
infrared
spectroscopy
experiments,
using artificially 
dried air,
to prove CO2 
is a greenhouse
gas.

In the atmosphere,
CO2 competes 
with the far stronger 
greenhouse gas
of water vapor, 
whose percentage 
varies, and is 
not zero !

I don't mind 
hearing people 
claim that CO2 
caused "some" 
global warming 
after 1975, 
because that's 
a reasonable 
assumption.

It's an assumption, 
however, not a 
scientifically 
proven fact.

But:
There's nothing
in the temperature
record after 1940
that's unusual 
-- all the climate
changes after 1940 
could have had 
100% natural causes

Climate proxy 
temperature
reconstructions 
shows lots of 
long term climate
trends, but 
the changes
of the estimated 
temperatures
are rarely more than
one degree C.
in one century.

The estimated global 
average temperature
of Earth is up about
+0.5 degrees C. 
in the 78 years from 
1940 through 2018.
 ( NASA-GISS 
surface data
from 1940 to 1979,
showing no change, 
and UAH satellite 
data from 1979 
through 2018, 
reflecting global 
warming of about 
+0.5 degrees C. )


There was 
far more 
global warming 
between 
the late 1600s 
and 1979, 
than the 
global warming
AFTER 1979.

The IPCC guesses
that "over half"
of the global 
warming after 
1950 was 
man made.

If I assume
the "over half" 
IPCC guess
is correct, 
then less than
+0.3 degrees C.
of the total
warming 
since the 
late 1600's, 
( totaling about 
+1.5 to +2.0 
degrees C. )
would be 
blamed 
on burning
fossil fuels !


More important:
The global warming 
since the cold years
in the late 1600s, 
has been GOOD news.


Why do many people 
believe FUTURE 
global warming 
must be BAD news ?

Future global 
warming could be 
more GOOD news, 
greening the planet 
like never before, and
producing more food 
than ever before. 



Some scientists 
began predicting 
a coming global 
warming crisis 
in the late 1950's.

But the global cooling 
from 1940 to 1975 
changed some minds
by the mid-1970s.

In the mid-1970s,
a small minority
of climate scientists
observed the cooling
from 1940 to 1975,
while CO2 levels were 
rising, which very few 
scientists had expected.

A small number of
scientists extrapolated
the 1940 to 1975 cooling 
far into the future,
and got media attention,
and government grants
to study the coming 
global cooling crisis
they were predicting.

So far they were wrong,
but the current warm
Holocene inter-glacial 
period that we live in,
WILL end someday,
and this planet 
will become
a lot colder 
for a long time. 

Unfortunately,
that media attention
in the mid-1970s
got scientists excited.

Since the mid-1970s,
an increasing number
of climate scientists
have been using 
scary predictions
to get media attention,
and government grants.

But their scary predictuions
were about global warming,
not global cooling. 



I challenge anyone 
to write a piece 
about any damage 
caused by the 
global warming 
in the past three 
hundred years 
( there is none ).

I want details,
and the names
of the "victims".

Or focus on the years 
since 1940, when 
large amounts of CO2 
were being added 
to the atmosphere, 
accompanied by 
intermittent, mild 
global warming.



If the 79 years, 
since 1940, 
of adding 
lots of CO2 
to the air, 
caused no serious 
climate problems, 
or even minor problems, 
then we have learned
an important lesson:

There's no justification, 
from past experience,
for assuming adding CO2 
to the air in the future 
will be a "serious problem", 
or even a moderate problem 
( but there is real pollution
when the CO2 is added 
to the atmosphere
by burning fossil fuels 
without modern 
pollution controls,
such as the air pollution 
that's now very visible 
in most large Chinese
and Indian cities ).



Adding CO2 to the air
is not something new.

What harm has 
happened from 
the CO2 added 
after 1940 ?

   Correct Answer: 
           None


What will the climate 
be like in 100 years ?

   Correct answer: 
    No one knows.


The chart on this 
Honest Global 
Warming Chart 
blog's home page, 
shows what has 
been happening
to the global 
average 
temperature,
since 1880, 
in degrees F.

Climate alarmists
always use 
temperature charts 
that cover a tiny
temperature range,
of only 1 to 1.5
degrees C., 
making a 0.1 degree C. 
change appear large.

Climate alarmists
get hysterical
when they see the 
honest chart I use,
which looks like 135
"red line" mercury 
thermometers
in a row.

The blog home page 
chart shows a slight 
global warming trend,
since 1880.

That chart is based on 
rough non-global
surface temperature 
estimates, with far 
too little data available 
before World War II.

There's poor 
global coverage
with land-based 
thermometers,
from 1891 to 1920, 
except for the U.S, 
Europe, and Australia.










And 1861 to 1890 
is much worse 
than 1891 to 1920 !



You have been 
living your entire life 
during a mild,
intermittent 
global warming 
trend.

You would never
have noticed
the temperature 
change during
your life, if not for
bellowing leftists
falsely claiming
a climate "crisis"
was in progress.

Leftists are bellowing
LOUDER than ever 
in 2019.

And claiming they are
even MORE confident
that they are right.

In fact, leftists claim 
we must act now,
even if they are wrong,
believe it or not.
( based on the fake 
precautionary principle ).


Leftists brainwash 
their children and
teenagers to be
fearful of the 
future climate,
protest in public, and 
even make very angry
speeches at the UN.

The truth is no one 
has been hurt 
by over 300 years
of global warming.


The climate protests,
about an imaginary
coming climate crisis,
are ridiculous, 
and scaring children
about the future,
is horrible behavior.