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Thursday, February 7, 2019

2018 was the fourth hottest year "on record" ... that means almost nothing ... but no one in the mainstream media explains why

If I launched a new
stock market average
just after a bull 
(up) market began, 
and newspapers
excitedly announced 
"Highest stock
average on record"
almost every month 
during that bull market, 
you'd wonder why 
that was news -- 
because that's what 
bull markets do. 

That's not news 
worth reporting !




Claiming 2018 was the
"fourth hottest year
on record" 
is also not news,
for a similar reason.

The average global
temperature "record" 
begins in 1880, 
DURING a warming trend
that started in 1850.

That means ALL data 
"on record" are DURING
a warming trend.
( see Note 1 )

Measuring DURING
a warming trend 
means new 
warmest 'evah 
"records"
are EXPECTED 
in every decade,
until the warming 
trend ends.




Two examples of 
real climate news,
that are worthy 
of headlines, 
but are ignored:

(1)
Real news would be
if any decade since
1880 was NOT 
"the warmest decade
on record".

That actually happened 
in the 1940's and 1950's.

Average global 
temperatures,
generally rising 
since 1850, 
went DOWN from 
1940 to 1975,
even as CO2
levels in the air 
rose a lot !


(2)
Weather satellite 
average global 
temperature data
reflected almost 
no warming 
from 2003 
through 2018.
( see Note 2 )

That's statistically insignificant
warming, for those 15 years,
when including the
margins of error assumed 
for the measurements.

That's real news !

Unfortunately, real news 
completely ignored by
every mainstream media
source, even Fox News,
because they don't think 
you need to know ! 

No need to provide
you with any evidence 
that contradicts 
their coming climate change
catastrophe fairy tales,
that get people all excited
...  fairy tales we've been hearing
about since the 1960's !




Note 1:
Studies of ice cores 
in Antarctica revealed
many warming / cooling
cycles, lasting hundreds
of years for a full cycle
-- usually 500 to 1,500 years.

These temperature cycles 
are mild, and harmless,
but do take a long time.

All warming trends
were followed by
cooling trends,
completing a full cycle.



Note 2:
Since 1979, average
temperatures have
been compiled 
using data from
weather satellites.

They are more accurate 
than surface weather
stations with thermometers,
for two main reasons:

(1)
Satellites are located in 
a very stable environment,
not affected by 
economic growth
near weather stations,
unlike land surface 
measurements,
and

(2)
Satellites require 
far less wild guessing 
by government bureaucrats,
to "infill" those areas 
they can't measure.

Satellite infilling 
is only required 
for small areas 
around both poles,.

Surface measurements
need infilling for over half 
of Earth's surface,
because most of our planet's
surface has no thermometers,
or has missing monthly data. 

( Yes, there is more "infilling"
than actual measurements,
for the surface measurements,
with the globe's surface, 
divided into 2,592
5 degree latitude by 
5 degree longitude "grid cells". )