Total Pageviews

Thursday, March 21, 2019

Does a global average temperature exist, and what does averaging hide ?

It's widely believed the 
atmosphere and oceans 
have been warming 
since the 1600s.

Perhaps +2 degrees C.
since the cold period
in the late 1600s.

That warming was good news.




Actual local temperatures
are always fluctuating.

Local measurements 
are combined with 
wild guesses for 
areas with no data
at monthly intervals 
with a claimed 
( hard to believe )
accuracy of 
+/- 0.1 degrees C.

The global average statistic 
is nothing more than an average 
of local temperatures, not an actual
measured temperature itself.

Over one hundred different averages 
of temperatures have been used 
in meteorology and climate studies.

There is no physical basis for choosing 
any one of these as the "best" average.




Earth is a planet not in 
thermodynamic equilibrium,
meaning local temperatures 
are always changing.

It's always possible 
to combine 
local temperature data, 
at any point in time,
into a global average.

But no one actually lives 
in the average temperature.

So does the 'average global 
temperature' mean anything 
to any individual ?




In fact, averaging hides details
that are very important:

-- If Alaska has warmer nights,
that's good news for people 
who live there.

-- If Cairo, Egypt has warmer days,
that's bad news for people
who live there. 

In fact, the primary climate
change since 1975 is warmer 
winter nights at high latitudes,
not warmer summer days 
near the equator.

That good news is hidden by 
the use of a global average.

The mainstream media 
never report those actual
effects of global warming 
since 1975.




There is no global temperature. 

There is only a global temperature statistic.

Averaghing obscures 
important details 
about actual 
global warming.