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Saturday, May 11, 2019

The Arctic Refuses To Melt

Since 2015, rapid 
Arctic sea-ice melting 
observed over 
previous decades, 
has ended. 




Comparing the 
2007-2019 
12-year period,
with the previous 
1994-2006 
12-year period:


For the 
September 
(minimum)
sea ice extent:

The first period shows 
SIE loss of 20%,
but the second period 
had a gain of 10%.

CO2 level changes 
can not explain 
those differences 
in sea-ice behavior 
between the two 
12-year periods.



For the 
March 
(maximum) 
sea ice extent:

The first period showed 
a March SIE loss of 8%, 
but the second period 
displays the same 
March SIE in 2019 
as 12 years before.

CO2 level changes 
can not explain 
those differences 
in sea-ice behavior 
between the two 
12-year periods.




The climatic factor 
that best explains 
sea-ice behavior 
is the existence
in the climate system 
of multi-decadal 
oceanic-atmospheric 
oscillations. 

Those oscillations 
are not part of the 
general circulation 
climate models, 
because their origin
is unknown.