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Monday, June 3, 2019

Politics controls modern climate change (non) science

Leftist political groups 
are trying to control
science through
government funding 
of science.

Leftists governments 
are buying the "science" 
they want to hear, 
just like cigarette companies
did when they wanted to 
"prove" cigarettes were safe !

Global warming 
( the coming climate 
change crisis )
has become
partisan politics, 
not real science.

Leftist governments 
look the other way 
when scientists "adjust" data, 
and theories, to better support 
their leftist positions.

Opposition to the
"official" positions, 
is attacked with ridicule, 
character attacks, 
refusals to debate, 
and "pal reviews", 
to block publication.

When used by 
leftist politicians,
science is a source 
of their authority.

But real science is
a mode of inquiry,
not a source 
of authority.




Global warming 
has been exploited 
by many governments 
for their own purpose:
Expanding government 
power over the 
private sector.

The general public 
never experienced 
a situation like the 
global warming hysteria,
used to promote policies 
which in 2019 call for 
massive spending, and 
worldwide sacrifices 
in well being. 

The junk science 
used to support the
coming climate change 
crisis fairy tale, 
is reversing the 
trust in science 
that arose from 
great accomplishments 
of science and technology 
during the World War II. 





Science contributed 
a lot to the US effort 
to win World War II
( radar, atomic bomb ). 

After the war,
people argued that 
their government 
needed to support 
basic sciences 
to get further benefits. 

The 1960s space race 
to get to the moon 
was the largest 
government / private sector 
scientific effort.




During the Vietnam War, 
the US Senate banned 
the military from supporting 
non-military research
( The Mansfield Amendment ). 

This shifted government support 
of science, which had been mainly
from the military, to other agencies.

Those agencies determined 
the nature of scientific activity
they were willing to pay for.

They wanted scientists 
to focus on areas 
to combat fears, such as 
the fear of cancer, heart 
disease, and environmental
issues such as climate change.

Science to support 
new and better weapons 
was not their goal.




The creation of a government 
scientific bureaucracy, and
growing body of regulations 
attached to government funding, 
caused a massive increase 
in the administrative staffs
at universities and 
research centers. 

The funding for this 
much enlarged staff 
came from the overhead 
on government grants.




The primary role of professional 
scientific societies is
lobbying government agencies 
for more spending 
on their subfield of science.

Having governments as the 
primary funding source,
makes the system 
vulnerable to corruption. 




Climatology was traditionally 
a small subfield within 
meteorology, oceanography, 
geography, geology, 
geochemistry, etc. 

Climate science was targeted 
by a major political movement, 
called "environmentalism".

The purpose of environmentalists
seemed to be getting attention, and
funding, by creating fear of a coming
environmental catastrophe.

That has been happening 
for over 50 years.




Public trust in science 
used to be high, and is still
high among leftists.

Political organizations
try to improve their own 
credibility by associating 
their goals with science
 – even if this involves 
junk science.

The public sees science
as a source of authority,
but can rarely distinguish
between real science
and junk science. 




Professional science societies 
were created to provide 
a means for communication 
within professions, and 
sometimes for professional 
certification, and public outreach. 

Increasingly, these societies
issued scientific statements 
on behalf of the society. 

Such statements do NOT 
represent membership 
positions -- there are no votes ! 

The environmental movement 
often hides its propaganda 
by pretending to be working for
a scientific organization.

The Union of Concerned Scientists,
for one example, had little or no 
scientific expertise in climate. 




Another propaganda technique
is  publicly claiming all scientists 
agree with whatever catastrophe 
is being promoted.

The general public can't follow 
scientific arguments, so "knowing"
that "almost all" scientists agree,
relieves them of any need 
for independent thinking.

The public becomes 
"trained parrots',
repeating whatever 
they are told.

The claims that 97% 
of scientists "agree",
even though all the claims 
all from bogus "studies", 
also serves as a warning 
to scientists: 
Any non-consensus 
statements on the topic,
will be punished
with character attacks.





The final exploitation 
of climate science 
for political purposes 
was the 1988 creation of
the Intergovernmental Panel 
on Climate Change (IPCC) 
by two UN agencies, 
UNEP (United Nations 
Environmental Program)
and WMO (World 
Meteorological Organization), 
followed by the agreement 
of all major countries 
at the 1992 Rio Conference 
to accept the IPCC 
as authoritative.

Theoretically, 
the IPCC summarizes
peer reviewed literature 
on climate science 
every five years. 

For some reason, 
that seems to take
hundreds of scientists 
and activists,
constantly traveling 
all around the world ! 

But the charge
to the IPCC 
was NOT simply 
to summarize.

The IPCC 
was charged 
with providing 
ONLY the science 
that blamed 
global warming 
on humans, 
which was needed 
to support attacking
the use of fossil fuels.

The IPCC task 
was a political task,
not a scientific task. 




The primary document 
the IPCC uses is NOT 
the extensive report 
prepared by scientists.

They use the Summary for 
Policymakers, issued 
MANY  MONTHS  BEFORE
the scientists' "back-up"
reports, which they hope
will never be read and 
compared with the Summary
( the scientific back-up
will certainly never be read 
by people writing in the
mainstream media ).

The Summary is written 
by representatives from 
governments, and 
environmental groups, 
most of whom do not 
have science degrees !

The Summary will selectively 
cite results to emphasize 
negative consequences. 

Data that challenges 
the hypothesis are changed
or simply ignored.

The goal of data changes 
is to bring the data 
into agreement with 
the beloved climate models, 
even though the models 
have displayed minimal skill 
in predicting the future climate. 

Remember: 
Computer climate model 
projections ARE the basis 
for greenhouse gas concerns. 

Data corrections 
are not unusual 
in science, but in
climate "science" 
they are almost always 
in the 'preferred direction', 
of creating a steeper
global warming trend.





In the first 
IPCC assessment, 
the traditional picture 
of the climate during 
the past 1,100 years 
was presented. 

There was a medieval 
warm period, that was 
somewhat warmer 
than the present, 
as well as the 
little ice age, 
that was cooler. 

But ... the presence of 
a period warmer 
than the present, 
WITHOUT man made 
greenhouse gases,
embarrassed believers 
who claimed 20th century 
warming HAD to be man made.

So efforts began to get rid of 
the medieval warm period

The most infamous effort 
was by Michael Mann, 
who used a few local
tree ring records to obtain 
a reconstruction of Northern 
Hemisphere temperatures, 
going back one thousand years, 
that no longer showed 
a medieval warm period. 

Tree rings showed a slight cooling 
for almost one thousand years,
including the past 150 years.

Cooling in the past 150 years
is NOT what Mann wanted to show.

It was actually evidence 
that his small selection
of tree ring data 
were NOT useful 
for temperature 
reconstructions.

( Tree rings can be useful 
for rainfall reconstructions. )

Instead of deleting 
all tree ring data,
and starting over,
Mann secretly 
truncated the 
tree ring data, 
and substituted
surface temperature 
"measurements" 
which showed 
significant warming
in the past 150 years.

No one seeing the chart 
would  know it was 
a combination of proxy 
( tree ring ) data and 
actual "measurements".

So the two-source chart 
ended up showing 
a sharp warming trend
beginning in the late 1800s.

The curve came to be known 
as the hockey stick, 
and was featured prominently 
in the next IPCC report 
to support the false claim
that the warming since 1850
was unprecedented, 
based on what was "known"
about the past 1,000 years.

But the existence of 
a medieval warm period 
is documented in 
historical accounts 
for the North Atlantic region.

So Mann et al countered 
that the medieval warming 
had to be regional, 
not characteristic of the 
whole Northern Hemisphere. 

In the 4th IPCC assessment,
the hockey stick chart 
was no longer featured, 
but the false claim that 
the current warming was 
unprecedented, remained.





For many years, 
the global average
temperature record 
showed cooling 
from about 1940, 
until the mid 1970’s. 

This led to the concern 
in 1974 and 1975 
for a coming global cooling 
crisis, that got a lot 
of media attention --
the media LOVE a crisis !

The data have since been 
gradually "adjusted:
to get rid of most 
of the mid-20th
century cooling !




Greenhouse warming 
is centered in the upper 
troposphere, and models 
show that the maximum 
rate of warming 
is found in the upper 
tropical troposphere

But temperature data, 
from both satellites 
and balloons, failed 
to record that maximum,
sometimes called 
the "hot spot". 

The reason for such 
a vertical structure: 
 In the tropics, the 
vertical temperature 
distribution closely
follows what is known 
as the moist adiabatic 
lapse rate. 

This profile has a 
vertical gradient
that varies with altitude, 
and inevitably leads to 
a larger temperature change 
in the upper troposphere, 
than at the ground. 

The initial papers describing this 
suggested that the structure 
was specifically a fingerprint 
of greenhouse warming. 

It was only a matter of time 
before the data were ‘corrected.’ 





Since at least 1988, 
it has been claimed 
that nearly all scientists 
agree about the coming 
global warming crisis.

This is not true, and was
never true -- but that 
did not stop the leftists
from making the claim.

Naomi Oreskes,
for one example, 
published a paper 
in Science, 
claiming to have 
surveyed 
the literature, 
and did not find 
a single paper 
questioning 
climate alarmism !

One of many frauds 
used by Naomi Oreskes, 
who is not a scientist,
for that conclusion:
 Any scientific paper 
that merely ASSUMED 
future global warming,
for a study about 
a DIFFERENT subject,
was interpreted as proof
that paper supported
a coming man made 
climate crisis !

The mere assumption
that the worst projections 
of global warming will happen,
and then writing about 
the implications of that 
assumed global warming,
on another subject, 
"automatically" made 
writers of a non-climate 
paper into authorities 
on climate science ?





It is often argued 
that in science ,
the truth must
eventually emerge. 

Not in global warming 
climate change alarmism.




Publication is essential 
for funding, and promotions 
in science. 

"Pal (peer) reviews" 
are used to reject 
papers and/or impose
significant changes 
to get a paper published. 

Simple disagreement 
with the conclusions 
of the IPCC has become 
a common basis 
for rejecting papers 
for publication in 
professional journals
 ... with one exception:
it's okay if the 'disagreement' is: 
"We believe CO2's negative effects
are even worse than others
have claimed in the past".

Climate scientists fear
what would happen to them
if scary IPCC predictions 
were refuted, ( predictions
that have been wrong since
the late 1980s ).

That would undermine 
their government salaries 
and grants.




Freeman Dyson, 
a great scientist
in theoretical physics, 
published a book review 
in the New York 
Review of Books, 
where he "snuck in" 
substantial doubt 
concerning 
global warming. 

This was followed by very 
angry letters, and condemnation 
on the realclimate.org website,
including ad hominem attacks.

Dyson, F. 2008, 
"The Question of Global Warming", 
New York Review of Books, 
55, 10, June 12




The current rewards 
for science are such 
that solving a problem 
is likely to result
in the end of government 
salaries and grants, 
for the successful 
scientists.

This does NOT encourage
the solution of problems, 
or the search for 
actual answers. 

The ONLY solution to
the counterproductive
science incentives
from government funding,
is significantly reducing 
the government funding 
available for scientists. 





ClimateGate started with the
November of 2009 release 
of thousands of hacked e-mails 
and other documents ( including,
computer code comments ) 
from the Climate Research Unit, 
( CRU ) of the University 
of East Anglia. 

There were clear examples of:
(1)
Manipulation of proxy records 
used in paleoclimate reconstructions, 

(2)
Conspiracy to delete all records 
of correspondence, and to deny 
the existence of such records, 

(3)
Suppression of other viewpoints, 

(4)
Manipulation of the IPCC process, and 

(5)
Intimidation of scientific journal editors.


Muir Russell, chair of the 
East Anglia e-mail 
sham "investigation", 
freely admitted to a
Parliamentary Committee 
that they did not even 
bother to ask Mr. Phil Jones 
( then head of the CRU ) 
about the deletion 
of documents, 
because doing that 
would have been asking 
Mr. Jones to admit that
he committed a crime ! 

Further reading on
ClimateGate e-mails:

https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf