Of course Alexandria
Occasionally Coherent
publicized the phrase.
And high school dropout
Greta Thunderberg
uses it in every
angry rant, er,
I mean speech.
But they borrowed
the "12 year" phrase
from a political
organization that
pretends to be a
scientific organization:
the UN's IPCC’s.
IPCC issued a 2018 report
falsely claiming the world
must take Draconian actions
based on computer games,
showing that we have
only 12 years to limit
future CO2 emissions
or the resulting
global temperature
increases will destroy
the planet.
We know that claim
is nonsense, not only
because every prior
IPCC claim has been
nonsense.
We also know our planet
has had more CO2 in the air
than now, for almost all
of it's 4.5 billion year history.
And no runaway
global warming
happened.
“Limiting global
warming to +1.5°C
(from roughly 1750)
would require rapid,
far-reaching and
unprecedented
changes in all
aspects of society",
the IPCC said
in a new
assessment.
“The report finds that
limiting global warming
to +1.5°C would require
“rapid and far-reaching”
transitions in land, energy,
industry, buildings,
transport, and cities.
Global net human- caused
emissions of carbon dioxide
(CO2) would need to fall
by about 45 percent from
2010 levels by 2030,
reaching ‘net zero’
around 2050.
This means that
any remaining emissions
would need to be balanced
by removing CO2
from the air.”
“The Paris Agreement
adopted by 195 nations
at the 21st Conference
of the Parties
to the UNFCCC
in December 2015
included the aim
of strengthening
the global response
to the threat
of climate change by
“holding the increase
in the global average
temperature
to well below
2°C above
pre-industrial levels
and pursuing
efforts to limit
the temperature increase
to 1.5°C above
pre-industrial levels.”
A 2010 article
in Der Spiegel
addressed:
“Invention of the
Two-Degree Target”.
It has only
political origins,
not scientific.
Joachim Schellnhuber,
director of the Potsdam
Institute for Climate
Impact Research (PIK),
is said to be the father
of the two-degree target.
A group of German
scientists invented
the simple, easy
to communicate,
mantra, in the
mid-1990s.
More recently
we heard:
“Two degrees
is not a magical limit
— it’s clearly
a political goal,”
said Hans Joachim,
director of the
Potsdam Institute
for Climate Impact
Research (PIK).
“The world will not
come to an end
right away
in the event of
stronger warming,
nor are we
definitely saved
if warming is
ot as significant.
The reality,
of course,
is much more
complicated."
For thousands
of years,
humans struggled
to survive
in a climate four
to eight degrees C.
colder than today.
Without central heating
or electric heaters.
Obviously living
closer to the equator
was the "solution."
“The two-degree target
has little to do with
serious science,”
says scientist
Hans von Storch.
“Unfortunately, some of
my colleagues behave
like pastors, who present
their results in precisely
such a way that they’ll fit
to their sermons,”
says Storch.
“It’s certainly
no coincidence
that all the mistakes
that became public
always tended in
the direction of
exaggeration
and alarmism.”
The UN IPCC's
science-free
+1.5 Degrees C
“temperature limit”
means:
-- 2018 global
emissions of
37.887 billion
metric tons
of CO2 would
have to be reduced
to about 19 billion
metric tons
of CO2 by 2030
2030 CO2
would have to be
a 45% reduction
from 2010
2030 CO2
would have to be
equal to 1977,
over 40 years ago
Meanwhile, there's
population growth,
especially in the
developing nations.
Developing nations'
CO2 emissions
are expected to
significantly increase
beyond year 2018 --
the EIA guesses
more than
+1 billion metric tons
by 2030,
and then an additional
+6.7 billion metric tons
by 2050.
EIA 2018 data for
developing nations:
-- 60% of global energy use
-- Two thirds of all
global CO2 emissions.
EIA 2050 forecast for
developing nations:
-- 70% of global energy use
-- Three quarters of all
global CO2 emissions.
Developing nations have
no emissions reduction
commitments under
the Paris Agreement .
China is committing
to use more fossil fuels
in the next five years,
including the use
of more coal, for
economic reasons
(i.e.; Coal is cheap)
China announced
plans to build new
coal power plants
through 2025,
with a total capacity
equal to the entire
current EU’s capacity!
The Southeast Asia region
seems to be following
in China's foot steps.
There is no justification
for listening to the
UN’s arbitrary climate
alarmist demand
based on failed
“computer models”.
Meanwhile,
the world’s
developing nations
are simply ignoring
the UN IPCC.