Total Pageviews

Monday, December 9, 2019

Climate changes during the past 11,700 years = the Holocene interglacial

There was a 
temperature peak, 
about +2 degrees  C. 
warmer than today, 
during the Holocene 
climatic optimum, 
~9,000 to 5,000
years ago.

About 8,200 years ago, 
the Holocene optimum
was interrupted by a 
sudden global cooling, 
that lasted 200 years,
not accompanied by
atmospheric CO
changes.



Egyptian records show
a cool climate from 
about 750 to 450 BC, 
with the Tiber River 
freezing, and snow 
stayed on the ground 
for long periods. 
(Singer and Avery, 2007) 



During the 
Roman 
Warm Period 
(200–600 AD)
Romans wrote 
about grapes 
and olives 
growing farther 
north in Italy 
than previously 
possible.



The Dark Ages 
Cool Period 
(440–900 AD) 

540 AD was a
very cold year, 
when tree rings 
were retarded, 
fruit didn’t ripen, 
and some snow 
even fell in the 
summer in 
Southern Europe. 

In 800 AD the 
Black Sea froze, 
and in 829 AD 
the Nile River 
froze 
(Oliver, 1973).



The Medieval Warm 
Period (900–1300 AD) 
had flourishing grain 
crops, a rising elevation 
of alpine tree lines, 
and the building of
new towns and cities, 
as the European 
population more 
than doubled. 

Vikings took advantage 
of the warm climate
to colonize Greenland 
in 985 AD, after it
suddenly had favorable 
open-ocean conditions 
for navigation and fishing. 

Wine grapes grew
about 500 km north 
of present vineyards 
in France, Germany, 
and northern England 
(Oliver, 1973; 
Tkachuck, 1983). 

Wheat and oats 
were grown around 
Trondheim, Norway, 
suggesting climates 
about one degree C. 
warmer than present. 
(Fagan, 2009).



After the Medieval 
Warm Period,
temperatures in 
Europe dropped 
by as much as ~4° C. 
in ~20 years as the 
next trebnd began:
Little Ice Age
(1300-1860 AD) 

There were 
unusually
cold periods 
in those 
500+ years,
but there were 
also about 25 
cold-warm cycles.

During cold phases, 
bitter winters and 
cool, rainy summers 
severely reduced 
growth of cereal crops,
resulting in serious
crop failures, famines, 
and diseases. 

Three years of torrential 
rains, beginning in 1315, 
led to the Great Famine 
of 1315–1317.

During colder winters, 
the Thames River 
in London, and canals
in the Netherlands, 
froze over. 
(Grove, 1988, 2004; 
Fagan, 2001). 

Glaciers expanded 
worldwide during 
the Little Ice Age 
(Grove, 2004; 
Singer and Avery, 2007).

Mid- seventeenth 
century glacial 
advances in the 
Swiss Alps
gradually covered 
farms, and buried 
some entire villages.

New York Harbor 
froze in the winter 
of 1780.

Sea ice surrounding 
Iceland extended 
for miles in every 
direction, closing 
many harbors,
which caused
the population of 
Iceland to decrease 
by half.

Viking colonies 
in Greenland died out 
in the 1400s, because 
food could no longer 
be grown there.



None of  Holocene 
climatic cycles  
were accompanied by 
any significant change 
in atmospheric 
carbon dioxide levels. 

The null hypothesis 
is that twentieth century 
warming represents 
natural climate variations.

That null hypothesis  

has NOT been disproven.