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Saturday, February 22, 2020

In the old days, we got lots of snow ?

"Snows are 
less frequent 
and less deep
…. The rivers 
which then seldom 
failed to freeze over 
in the course 
of the winter, 
scearcely (sic) 
ever do now."
 Thomas Jefferson, 1801


"Every single winter, 
I walked many miles
to elementary school,
through two feet of snow, 
and uphill in both directions! "
        Ye Editor's 
       "childhood memories"


Most people believe 
we've had less snow 
and cold weather
in recent winters, 
compared to when 
they were young.

There is no doubt
snow and temperature
will vary a lot
from year to year.

Here in 
southeastern
Michigan, 
where we have
lived in the same
home since 1987,
and before that,
four miles south, 
from 1980 to 1987,
in an apartment,
this winter 
( 2019  /  2020 ) 
has been warmer
than usual, with 
less snow than usual.


Last winter 
( 2018  /  2019 )
was unusually cold,
but with less snow
than usual.


One year earlier 
( 2017  /  2018 ),
an unusual amount
of snow, but with 
average temperatures.


The Intergovernmental 
Panel on Climate Change 
warned us in 2001 that 
“milder winter
temperatures 
will decrease 
heavy 
snowstorms.”


Dr. Kathryn Hayhoe 
confidently stated in 2008 
that the California region 
would experience a
70% to 90% reduction 
in snowfall due to 
global warming. 

Three years later, 
California had 
it's snowiest winter 
on record 
( 2010 / 2011 ).


"Warming by Recollection?” 
People from snowy climates
almost always seem to think
winters today are nothing 
like when they were a child. 

That "memory" 
reinforces their belief 
that we are experiencing 
global warming.

But if you study
the actual snow cover 
data, those memories 
are usually found 
to be wrong.

Why?

I have two ideas why:

(1)
When you are a child,
an eight inch snowfall 
is a lot, relative to
your height, and fun 
to play in, especially 
if school is cancelled !

(2)
You can remember 
an exceptional 
snow storm(s)
-- all other weather
is long forgotten.



Rutgers Global 
Snow Lab ( GSL ) data
show that snow cover 
both in North America 
has been increasing
in North America
(  winter months in chart below ) :









and in the Northern Hemisphere
( month of January in chart below ):